Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Septemvri Simitli vs Haskovo Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Bulgarian Cup 2014/2015
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Chanev V.
34' Event
Kovachev M.
53' Event
Kosturkov T.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Haskovo advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Septemvri Simitli
15%
Draws
0%
Haskovo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Septemvri Simitli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Septemvri Simitli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Septemvri Simitli taking it.
  • Septemvri Simitli have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Haskovo, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Haskovo here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 20%
Haskovo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Simitli Haskovo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 5
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.37 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.27 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2014 Bulgarian Cup
Septemvri Simitli vs Haskovo
1:3
Apr 21, 2001 Vtora liga
Haskovo vs Septemvri Simitli
0:4
Oct 21, 2000 Vtora liga
Septemvri Simitli vs Haskovo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Septemvri Simitli Compare

Top Goalscorer Kosturkov T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Haskovo Compare

Top Goalscorer Chanev V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kovachev M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Simitli 85 / 100
Haskovo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Simitli Haskovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Septemvri Simitli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Haskovo conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Away concern: Haskovo has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Septemvri Simitli found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Simitli VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Simitli

(Home)
03 Oct
Strumska Slava
1 : 2
Septemvri Simitli
26 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 3
Oborishte Panagyurishte
19 Sept
Bansko
3 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
05 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
Page 1 of 6

Haskovo

(Away)
27 May
Haskovo
0 : 1
Slavia Sofia
21 May
Marek
3 : 1
Haskovo
18 May
Haskovo
1 : 3
Cherno More
10 May
Lok. Plovdiv
4 : 0
Haskovo
04 May
Haskovo
0 : 5
Levski Sofia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Ludogorets 5
Botev Vratsa 1
PFC Burgas 0
Beroe 1
Gotse Delchev 3
Dobrudzha 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad 1
FC Lovech 2
Haskovo 3
Septemvri Simitli 1
Atletik Kuklen 0
Bansko 6
Montana 2
CSKA Sofia 1
Spartak Varna 1
Levski Sofia 7
Cherno More 2
Sozopol 0
Chernomorets 1919 1
Slavia Sofia 3
Dunav Ruse 4
Rakovski 2011 0
Manastirishte 1
Gorna 4
Lok. Sofia 1
Pirin Razlog 0
Marek 0
Botev Galabovo 1
Botev Plovdiv 4
Lokomotiv Mezdra 0
Vereya 0
Lok. Plovdiv 2
1/8-finals
Ludogorets 2
Beroe 2
Gotse Delchev 1
FC Lovech 7
Haskovo 3
Bansko 2
Montana 2
Levski Sofia 4
Cherno More 4
Slavia Sofia 2
Dunav Ruse 1
Gorna 2
Lok. Sofia 9
Botev Galabovo 2
Botev Plovdiv 2
Lok. Plovdiv 3
Quarter-finals
Ludogorets 5
FC Lovech 0
Haskovo 1
Levski Sofia 4
Cherno More 6
Gorna 0
Lok. Sofia 2
Lok. Plovdiv 4
Semi-finals
Ludogorets 0
Levski Sofia 1
Cherno More 8
Lok. Plovdiv 3
Final
Levski Sofia 1
Cherno More 2