Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Bulgarian Cup 2014/2015

Haskovo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Septemvri Simitli play Haskovo in the Bulgarian Cup 2014/2015. Septemvri Simitli are favorites here. Recently, Septemvri Simitli averaged 1.26 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. Haskovo averaged 0.72 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. In past meetings, Septemvri Simitli won 1, Haskovo won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 24, 2014 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Septemvri Simitli and 1.00 for Haskovo. This points to a Septemvri Simitli double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%

Septemvri Simitli

15%

Draws

27%

Haskovo

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Septemvri Simitli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence

Septemvri Simitli picked up more points recently compared to Haskovo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 67%

Over 2.5 Goals 49%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 23%

Haskovo Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 60%

Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Septemvri Simitli	Haskovo
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	13	5
Draws	4	3
Losses	14	21
Goals Scored	1.26	0.72
Goals Conceded	1.32	2.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2014 Bulgarian Cup

Septemvri Simitli vs Haskovo

Possession: 50% - 47% Cards: 0 - 1

1:3

Apr 21, 2001 Vtora liga

Haskovo vs Septemvri Simitli

Possession: 60% - 59% Cards: 4 - 1

0:4

Oct 21, 2000 Vtora liga

Septemvri Simitli vs Haskovo

Possession: 52% - 54% Cards: 1 - 4

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Septemvri Simitli Compare

Top Goalscorer Kosturkov T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Haskovo Compare

Top Goalscorer Chanev V.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kovachev M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Simitli 57 / 100

Haskovo 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Septemvri Simitli Haskovo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Septemvri Simitli Win (1)

Secondary Pick Septemvri Simitli & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16%

2.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Septemvri Simitli attacking → ← attacking Haskovo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Septemvri Simitli scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Haskovo let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Septemvri Simitli went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Haskovo lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 18

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00