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Septemvri Simitli vs Oborishte Panagyurishte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia
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AI Match Summary

Oborishte Panagyurishte in this Third League - South-West matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oborishte Panagyurishte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Septemvri Simitli
20%
Draws
57%
Oborishte Panagyurishte
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oborishte Panagyurishte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Oborishte Panagyurishte have won more games recently than Septemvri Simitli.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Oborishte Panagyurishte taking it.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 10%
Oborishte Panagyurishte Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Simitli Oborishte Panagyurishte
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 14 17
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.16 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
1:3
Feb 21, 2026 Third League - South-West
Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Septemvri Simitli
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
1:1
Feb 26, 2025 Third League - South-West
Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Septemvri Simitli
0:0
Aug 3, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Simitli 10 / 100
Oborishte Panagyurishte 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Simitli Oborishte Panagyurishte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oborishte Panagyurishte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Septemvri Simitli scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Oborishte Panagyurishte has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Septemvri Simitli has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Simitli VS Oborishte Panagyurishte
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Simitli

(Home)
10 Oct
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 1
Belasitsa Petrich
03 Oct
Strumska Slava
1 : 2
Septemvri Simitli
26 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 3
Oborishte Panagyurishte
19 Sept
Bansko
3 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
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Oborishte Panagyurishte

(Away)
07 Oct
Oborishte Panagyurishte
2 : 2
Kyustendil
04 Oct
Oborishte Panagyurishte
1 : 3
Yantra Gabrovo
26 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 3
Oborishte Panagyurishte
19 Sept
Oborishte Panagyurishte
3 : 2
Strumska Slava
13 Sept
Oborishte Panagyurishte
1 : 0
Belasitsa Petrich
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