Sport Picks
Septemvri Simitli vs Rilski Sportist
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West National Stadium Vasil Levski 
AI Match Summary
Septemvri Simitli play Rilski Sportist in the Third League - South-West. It looks like a close match. Recently, Septemvri Simitli averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Rilski Sportist averaged 1.36 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. In past meetings, Septemvri Simitli won 4, Rilski Sportist won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Septemvri Simitli and 1.12 for Rilski Sportist. This points to a Rilski Sportist double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Septemvri Simitli picked up more points recently compared to Rilski Sportist.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.12 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Septemvri Simitli | Rilski Sportist |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 18 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.86 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.86 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Septemvri Simitli scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Rilski Sportist let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Septemvri Simitli went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Rilski Sportist lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |