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Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Hebar 2

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2023/2024 National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2023/2024 game between Septemvri Sofia 2 and Hebar 2 finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Septemvri Sofia 2
15%
Draws
28%
Hebar 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Septemvri Sofia 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Septemvri Sofia 2 come out ahead of Hebar 2 on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Septemvri Sofia 2 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Septemvri Sofia 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Hebar 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Sofia 2 Hebar 2
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.5 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Hebar 2
0:0
Sep 16, 2023 Third League - South-West
Hebar 2 vs Septemvri Sofia 2
1:0
Apr 30, 2022 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Hebar 2
0:0
Oct 9, 2021 Third League - South-West
Hebar 2 vs Septemvri Sofia 2
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Sofia 2 85 / 100
Hebar 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Sofia 2 Hebar 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Septemvri Sofia 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hebar 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Septemvri Sofia 2 scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Hebar 2's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.25 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Sofia 2 VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Sofia 2

(Home)
26 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
12 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 0
Balkan Botevgrad
05 Sept
Kostinbrod
1 : 3
Septemvri Sofia 2
29 Aug
Septemvri Sofia 2
1 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
22 Aug
Belasitsa Petrich
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia 2
Page 1 of 7

Hebar 2

(Away)
06 Jun
Oborishte Panagyurishte
7 : 1
Hebar 2
01 Jun
Pirin Razlog
3 : 0
Hebar 2
25 May
Vihren
3 : 0
Hebar 2
18 May
Hebar 2
3 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
11 May
Rilski Sportist
3 : 1
Hebar 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Minyor Pernik 38 31 4 3 78:29 97
2 CSKA Sofia II 38 25 5 8 68:39 80
3 Botev Ihtiman 38 20 7 11 70:52 67
4 Vihren 38 20 6 12 66:46 66
5 Slivnishki Geroy 38 16 10 12 52:47 58
6 Levski Sofia II 38 16 8 14 61:51 56
7 Rilski Sportist 38 16 4 18 58:61 52
8 Balkan Botevgrad 38 13 11 14 63:62 50
9 CSKA 1948 Sofia III 38 14 7 17 57:55 49
10 Bansko 38 13 9 16 50:54 48
11 Septemvri Sofia 2 38 13 9 16 50:46 48
12 Bistritsa 38 12 11 15 30:35 47
13 Kyustendil 38 12 10 16 53:54 46
14 Slavia Sofia 2 38 13 7 18 54:64 46
15 Oborishte Panagyurishte 38 13 7 18 58:75 46
16 Septemvri Simitli 38 10 15 13 48:50 45
17 Pirin Razlog 38 13 6 19 38:55 45
18 Kostinbrod 38 11 10 17 40:63 43
19 Hebar 2 38 9 6 23 35:63 33
20 Chavdar Etropole 38 13 2 23 46:74 41
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