Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026

Septemvri Sofia 2

3 - 0

Pirin Razlog

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Septemvri Sofia 2 and Pirin Razlog finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Septemvri Sofia 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Septemvri Sofia 2

11%

Draws

Pirin Razlog

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Septemvri Sofia 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Pirin Razlog carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Septemvri Sofia 2's way, sitting at 80%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Pirin Razlog have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%

Septemvri Sofia 2 Clean Sheet 20%

Pirin Razlog Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Septemvri Sofia 2	Pirin Razlog
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	13
Draws	9	4
Losses	11	13
Goals Scored	2.25	1.25
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Third League - South-West

Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Pirin Razlog

Possession: 58% - 50% Cards: 4 - 0

3:0

Aug 30, 2025 Third League - South-West

Pirin Razlog vs Septemvri Sofia 2

Possession: 52% - 52% Cards: 1 - 2

3:1

Apr 5, 2025 Third League - South-West

Pirin Razlog vs Septemvri Sofia 2

Possession: 46% - 57% Cards: 3 - 2

3:0

Sep 14, 2024 Third League - South-West

Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Pirin Razlog

Possession: 53% - 52% Cards: 2 - 3

0:5

Apr 13, 2024 Third League - South-West

Pirin Razlog vs Septemvri Sofia 2

Possession: 44% - 59% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Sofia 2 76 / 100

Pirin Razlog 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Septemvri Sofia 2 Pirin Razlog

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEP Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Septemvri Sofia 2 scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Pirin Razlog has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Septemvri Sofia 2 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Sofia 2 VS Pirin Razlog

2.25 Goals Scored 1.25

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75

75% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rilski Sportist	34	25	5	4	58:23	80
2	Strumska Slava	34	20	5	9	71:45	65
3	Slavia Sofia 2	34	17	6	11	68:44	57
4	Botev Ihtiman	34	14	9	11	53:40	51
5	Kyustendil	34	15	5	14	49:52	50
6	CSKA Sofia III	34	15	5	14	49:43	50
7	Oborishte Panagyurishte	34	14	7	13	43:37	49
8	Balkan Botevgrad	34	13	10	11	50:45	49
9	Septemvri Sofia 2	34	13	9	12	50:43	48
10	Septemvri Simitli	34	13	8	13	41:40	47
11	Kostinbrod	34	14	5	15	47:51	47
12	Pirin Razlog	34	13	6	15	43:48	45
13	Bansko	34	11	11	12	39:45	44
14	Slivnishki Geroy	34	11	9	14	40:49	42
15	Levski Sofia II	34	11	7	16	30:44	40
16	Gotse Delchev	34	11	4	19	43:70	37
17	Germaneya	34	4	6	24	38:75	18
18	Bistritsa	34	11	5	18	44:62	38