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Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Septemvri Simitli

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Septemvri Sofia 2 and Septemvri Simitli finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Septemvri Sofia 2
30%
Draws
34%
Septemvri Simitli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Septemvri Sofia 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Septemvri Simitli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Septemvri Sofia 2's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Septemvri Sofia 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Sofia 2 Septemvri Simitli
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 9 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 2.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Septemvri Simitli
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Septemvri Sofia 2
1:0
Apr 30, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Septemvri Simitli
0:2
Oct 6, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Septemvri Sofia 2
3:0
Mar 2, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Septemvri Simitli
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Sofia 2 36 / 100
Septemvri Simitli 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Sofia 2 Septemvri Simitli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Septemvri Sofia 2 scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Septemvri Simitli let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Septemvri Sofia 2 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Sofia 2 VS Septemvri Simitli
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rilski Sportist34255458:2380
2Strumska Slava34205971:4565
3Slavia Sofia 2341761168:4457
4Botev Ihtiman341491153:4051
5Kyustendil341551449:5250
6CSKA Sofia III341551449:4350
7Oborishte Panagyurishte341471343:3749
8Balkan Botevgrad3413101150:4549
9Septemvri Sofia 2341391250:4348
10Septemvri Simitli341381341:4047
11Kostinbrod341451547:5147
12Pirin Razlog341361543:4845
13Bansko3411111239:4544
14Slivnishki Geroy341191440:4942
15Levski Sofia II341171630:4440
16Gotse Delchev341141943:7037
17Germaneya34462438:7518
18Bistritsa341151844:6238