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Septemvri Sofia U19 vs Fiorentina U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League Stadion Dragalevtsi, Sofia
Wed, Nov 4, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 5-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Fiorentina U19 are expected to control this from the start. Septemvri Sofia U19 have averaged 1.17 scored and 2.33 conceded recently, against Fiorentina U19's 2 scored and 1.96 conceded. Head-to-head, Septemvri Sofia U19 have won 0 to Fiorentina U19's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 28, 2026, ending 5:0. The numbers (1.48 xG vs 1.43) point toward Fiorentina U19. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Septemvri Sofia U19
20%
Draws
40%
Fiorentina U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Fiorentina U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Septemvri Sofia U19 a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Fiorentina U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Septemvri Sofia U19 Clean Sheet 17%
Fiorentina U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Sofia U19 Fiorentina U19
Matches Played 6 28
Wins 1 10
Draws 1 6
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.17 2
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2026 UEFA Youth League
Fiorentina U19 vs Septemvri Sofia U19
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Sofia U19 66 / 100
Fiorentina U19 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Sofia U19 Fiorentina U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Septemvri Sofia U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiorentina U19 let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Septemvri Sofia U19 scored in 67% of their last 6 outings.

Away concern: Fiorentina U19 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Sofia U19 VS Fiorentina U19
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Sofia U19

(Home)
07 Dec
Rangers U19
3 : 0
Septemvri Sofia U19
24 Nov
Septemvri Sofia U19
2 : 4
Rangers U19
19 Oct
Akademia Futbollit U19
1 : 1
Septemvri Sofia U19
29 Sept
Septemvri Sofia U19
3 : 0
Akademia Futbollit U19
24 Oct
Septemvri Sofia U19
1 : 5
Dynamo Kyiv U19
Page 1 of 2

Fiorentina U19

(Away)
05 Nov
Fiorentina U19
3 : 2
Legia U19
22 Oct
Legia U19
4 : 1
Fiorentina U19
20 Aug
Sassuolo U19
2 : 0
Fiorentina U19
14 Jul
Fiorentina
5 : 2
Fiorentina U19
17 May
Fiorentina U19
2 : 2
Sampdoria U19
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Flora U19 7
HB Torshavn U19 1
TBD -
Chelsea U19 -
St. Patricks U19 -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri U19 3
Zalgiris U19 6
Hammarby U19 -
TBD -
Cliftonville U19 0
Super Nova U19 1
Legia U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Clermont U19 -
HJK U19 8
FC Ballkani U19 1
TBD -
Zilina U19 -
Stabaek U19 -
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University U19 4
UNA Strassen U19 1
Valletta U19 0
Partizani U19 6
TBD -
Hradec Kralove U19 -
MTK Budapest U19 -
TBD -
Mladost DG U19 1
Kairat Almaty U19 13
Dinamo Tbilisi U19 7
Din. Minsk U19 6
TBD -
FC Copenhagen U19 -
Fiorentina U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia U19 -
FC Santa Coloma U19 0
Brera Strumica U19 11
TBD -
Hoffenheim U19 -
PAOK U19 -
TBD -
Zrinjski U19 10
Lincoln Red Imps U19 1
Genk U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Salzburg U19 -
Bravo U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Crvena zvezda U19 -
Dynamo Kyiv U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Rangers U19 -
AZ Alkmaar U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Goztepe U19 -
Qarabag Agdam U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb U19 -
Benfica U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Pafos U19 -
F. Constanta U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff Tiraspol U19 -
Zurich U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv U19 -
Semi-finals
Flora U19 -
Chelsea U19 -
St. Patricks U19 -
Zalgiris U19 -
Hammarby U19 -
Super Nova U19 -
Legia U19 3
Clermont U19 1
HJK U19 -
Zilina U19 -
Stabaek U19 -
Cardiff Metropolitan University U19 -
Partizani U19 0
Hradec Kralove U19 0
MTK Budapest U19 -
Kairat Almaty U19 -
Dinamo Tbilisi U19 -
FC Copenhagen U19 -
Fiorentina U19 -
Septemvri Sofia U19 -
Brera Strumica U19 0
Hoffenheim U19 3
PAOK U19 -
Zrinjski U19 -
Genk U19 -
Salzburg U19 -
Bravo U19 -
Crvena zvezda U19 -
Dynamo Kyiv U19 2
Rangers U19 0
AZ Alkmaar U19 3
Goztepe U19 1
Qarabag Agdam U19 1
Din. Zagreb U19 2
Benfica U19 -
Pafos U19 -
F. Constanta U19 0
Sheriff Tiraspol U19 0
Zurich U19 -
Maccabi Tel Aviv U19 -
Final
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