Sport Picks
Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
efbet League National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia 
Match Events
19'
19'
Sub
Martino A. In: Yordanov A.
Out: Martino A.
32'
32'
Rodriguez F.
45'
45'
Pittas I.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The efbet League game between Septemvri Sofia and CSKA Sofia finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSKA Sofia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CSKA Sofia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and CSKA Sofia come out ahead of Septemvri Sofia on wins alone.
- Model gives CSKA Sofia a 51% chance of winning this.
- Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- CSKA Sofia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Septemvri Sofia Clean Sheet 13%
CSKA Sofia Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Septemvri Sofia | CSKA Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 26 |
| Wins | 9 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 1.85 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia
0:3
Feb 28, 2026 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia
2:0
Oct 11, 2025 Club Friendly
CSKA Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
4:0
Sep 13, 2025 efbet League
CSKA Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
3:1
Mar 29, 2025 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Septemvri Sofia Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
CSKA Sofia Compare
Top Goalscorer Godoy L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Solet I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Septemvri Sofia 10 / 100
CSKA Sofia 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Septemvri Sofia CSKA Sofia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CSKA Sofia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Septemvri Sofia's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: CSKA Sofia conceded in 69% of 26 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Septemvri Sofia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Septemvri Sofia VS CSKA Sofia
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Septemvri Sofia
(Home) 19 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3 Botev Plovdiv
14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1 Septemvri Sofia
04 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3 Botev Vratsa
28 Aug
Slavia Sofia
1 : 1 Septemvri Sofia
23 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 0 CSKA 1948 Sofia
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3 Botev Plovdiv
04 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3 Botev Vratsa
23 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 0 CSKA 1948 Sofia
09 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3 CSKA Sofia
18 Jul
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 1 Arda
Page 1 of 4
CSKA Sofia
(Away) 20 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia
16 Sept
Lok. Sofia
0 : 2 CSKA Sofia
12 Sept
CSKA Sofia
4 : 1 Arda
09 Sept
Levski Sofia
2 : 4 CSKA Sofia
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia
16 Sept
Lok. Sofia
0 : 2 CSKA Sofia
09 Sept
Levski Sofia
2 : 4 CSKA Sofia
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia
20 Aug
OFI Crete
3 : 0 CSKA Sofia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 25 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 24:7 | 24 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16:7 | 23 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19:10 | 22 |
| 5 | Arda | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 16 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Spartak Varna | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 10 | Septemvri Sofia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 11 | Lok. Sofia | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 12 | Lok. Plovdiv | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5:13 | 7 |
| 13 | Cherno More | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | 6 |
| 14 | Dunav Ruse | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | 5 |
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)
