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Septemvri Sofia vs Hebar

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Septemvri Sofia and Hebar finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Septemvri Sofia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Septemvri Sofia
15%
Draws
36%
Hebar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Septemvri Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Septemvri Sofia come out ahead of Hebar on wins alone.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Septemvri Sofia have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Septemvri Sofia Clean Sheet 20%
Hebar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Sofia Hebar
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 3
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 0.96 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Septemvri Sofia vs Hebar
2:1
May 15, 2025 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs Hebar
1:0
Mar 10, 2025 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs Hebar
6:1
Sep 20, 2024 efbet League
Hebar vs Septemvri Sofia
1:2
May 26, 2023 efbet League
Hebar vs Septemvri Sofia
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Sofia 36 / 100
Hebar 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Sofia Hebar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hebar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hebar conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Septemvri Sofia scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Away concern: Hebar has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Sofia VS Hebar
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Sofia

(Home)
17 Aug
Spartak Varna
0 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
09 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3
CSKA Sofia
01 Aug
Levski Sofia
3 : 0
Septemvri Sofia
26 Jul
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
18 Jul
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 1
Arda
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Hebar

(Away)
18 Aug
Pirin Blagoevgrad
2 : 3
Hebar
11 Aug
CSKA Sofia II
4 : 3
Hebar
02 Aug
Hebar
2 : 3
Vihren
24 Jul
Beroe
2 : 1
Hebar
07 Jul
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 1
Hebar
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