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Septemvri Sofia vs Ordabasy

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Septemvri Sofia and Ordabasy finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ordabasy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Septemvri Sofia
15%
Draws
64%
Ordabasy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ordabasy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ordabasy carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ordabasy's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Septemvri Sofia Clean Sheet 10%
Ordabasy Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Sofia Ordabasy
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 21
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 0.93 2
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Septemvri Sofia vs Ordabasy
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Sofia 10 / 100
Ordabasy 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Sofia Ordabasy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ordabasy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Septemvri Sofia found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Ordabasy conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Septemvri Sofia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Sofia VS Ordabasy
1 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Sofia

(Home)
17 Aug
Spartak Varna
0 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
09 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3
CSKA Sofia
01 Aug
Levski Sofia
3 : 0
Septemvri Sofia
26 Jul
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
18 Jul
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 1
Arda
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Ordabasy

(Away)
15 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 1
Altai
08 Aug
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
0 : 4
Ordabasy
02 Aug
Ordabasy
2 : 0
Tobol
26 Jul
Kairat Almaty
2 : 1
Ordabasy
19 Jul
Ordabasy
3 : 1
Yelimay Semey
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