Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Septemvri Sofia vs Yantra Gabrovo

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League 2025/2026 Stadion Dragalevtsi, Sofia
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Sub
Fontaine N. In: Stoichkov S.
Out: Fontaine N.
42' Event
Angelov M.
Assist: Ganchev M.
46'
Sub
Schouten R. In: Onasci K.
Out: Schouten R.

AI Match Summary

Septemvri Sofia in this efbet League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Septemvri Sofia
39%
Draws
31%
Yantra Gabrovo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Yantra Gabrovo lately — more wins on the board than Septemvri Sofia.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Yantra Gabrovo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Septemvri Sofia, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Septemvri Sofia Clean Sheet 68%
Yantra Gabrovo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Sofia Yantra Gabrovo
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs Yantra Gabrovo
2:1
Jul 14, 2024 Club Friendly
Septemvri Sofia vs Yantra Gabrovo
0:0
Mar 4, 2024 Vtora liga
Septemvri Sofia vs Yantra Gabrovo
1:2
Aug 22, 2023 Vtora liga
Yantra Gabrovo vs Septemvri Sofia
3:2
Apr 10, 2022 Vtora liga
Septemvri Sofia vs Yantra Gabrovo
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Septemvri Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Georgiev P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stojanovic S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Yantra Gabrovo Compare

Top Goalscorer Angelov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Sofia 41 / 100
Yantra Gabrovo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Sofia Yantra Gabrovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Septemvri Sofia scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Yantra Gabrovo conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

Solid form: Septemvri Sofia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Sofia VS Yantra Gabrovo
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Sofia

(Home)
18 Jul
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 1
Arda
10 Jul
Ludogorets
1 : 0
Septemvri Sofia
07 Jul
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 1
Hebar
04 Jul
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3
Slavia Sofia
01 Jul
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 0
Vihren
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Yantra Gabrovo

(Away)
10 Jul
Yantra Gabrovo
1 : 1
Fratria
07 Jul
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 2
Spartak Pleven
04 Jul
Yantra Gabrovo
3 : 2
Ludogorets II
24 Jun
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 1
Cherno More
28 May
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 1
Yantra Gabrovo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Septemvri Sofia2
Yantra Gabrovo1