Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Septemvri Sofia vs Yantra Gabrovo

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League 2025/2026 Stadion Dragalevtsi, Sofia
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Sub
Fontaine N. In: Stoichkov S.
Out: Fontaine N.
42' Event
Angelov M.
Assist: Ganchev M.
46'
Sub
Schouten R. In: Onasci K.
Out: Schouten R.

AI Match Summary

Septemvri Sofia in this efbet League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Septemvri Sofia
15%
Draws
51%
Yantra Gabrovo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yantra Gabrovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Yantra Gabrovo lately — more wins on the board than Septemvri Sofia.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Yantra Gabrovo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Septemvri Sofia, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Septemvri Sofia Clean Sheet 14%
Yantra Gabrovo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Sofia Yantra Gabrovo
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs Yantra Gabrovo
2:1
Jul 14, 2024 Club Friendly
Septemvri Sofia vs Yantra Gabrovo
0:0
Mar 4, 2024 Vtora liga
Septemvri Sofia vs Yantra Gabrovo
1:2
Aug 22, 2023 Vtora liga
Yantra Gabrovo vs Septemvri Sofia
3:2
Apr 10, 2022 Vtora liga
Septemvri Sofia vs Yantra Gabrovo
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Septemvri Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Georgiev P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stojanovic S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Yantra Gabrovo Compare

Top Goalscorer Angelov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Sofia 31 / 100
Yantra Gabrovo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Sofia Yantra Gabrovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yantra Gabrovo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Septemvri Sofia scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Yantra Gabrovo conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Away concern: Yantra Gabrovo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Sofia VS Yantra Gabrovo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Sofia

(Home)
19 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
04 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3
Botev Vratsa
28 Aug
Slavia Sofia
1 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
23 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
Page 1 of 6

Yantra Gabrovo

(Away)
27 Sept
Beroe
1 : 0
Yantra Gabrovo
20 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 1
Gorna
13 Sept
Rilski Sportist
2 : 0
Yantra Gabrovo
06 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
3 : 0
Marek
02 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
2 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Septemvri Sofia 2
Yantra Gabrovo 1