Sport Picks
SER Caxias do Sul vs Botafogo PB - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie C Estadio Francisco Stedile, Caxias do Sul 
Match Events
9'
9'
PK
32'
32'
Roberto
41'
41'
Breno Santos
AI Match Summary
The Serie C game between SER Caxias do Sul and Botafogo PB finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botafogo PB.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Botafogo PB
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Botafogo PB come out ahead of SER Caxias do Sul on wins alone.
- 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
SER Caxias do Sul Clean Sheet 68%
Botafogo PB Clean Sheet 21%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SER Caxias do Sul | Botafogo PB |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.60 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Serie C
SER Caxias do Sul vs Botafogo PB
1:2
Jun 14, 2025 Serie C
Botafogo PB vs SER Caxias do Sul
1:2
Apr 28, 2024 Serie C
Botafogo PB vs SER Caxias do Sul
1:1
Apr 7, 2011 Copa Betano do Brasil
SER Caxias do Sul vs Botafogo PB
3:1
Mar 17, 2011 Copa Betano do Brasil
Botafogo PB vs SER Caxias do Sul
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SER Caxias do Sul Compare
Top Goalscorer Breno Santos
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.3
Botafogo PB Compare
Top Goalscorer Bastos R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.76
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SER Caxias do Sul 41 / 100
Botafogo PB 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SER Caxias do Sul Botafogo PB
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SER Caxias do Sul Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: SER Caxias do Sul scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Botafogo PB let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
SER Caxias do Sul went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
SER Caxias do Sul VS Botafogo PB
0.71 Goals Scored 1.88
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.5
57% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
SER Caxias do Sul
(Home) 29 Aug
SER Caxias do Sul
0 : 0 Internacional de Limeira
22 Aug
Santa Cruz
2 : 0 SER Caxias do Sul
16 Aug
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 2 Figueirense
09 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2 SER Caxias do Sul
26 Jul
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 2 Botafogo PB
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
SER Caxias do Sul
0 : 0 Internacional de Limeira
16 Aug
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 2 Figueirense
26 Jul
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 2 Botafogo PB
11 Jul
SER Caxias do Sul
0 : 0 Floresta EC
30 Jun
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 1 Anapolis
Page 1 of 4
Botafogo PB
(Away) 10 Oct
Botafogo PB
1 : 0 Santa Cruz
03 Oct
Floresta EC
1 : 1 Botafogo PB
26 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 0 Maringa FC
19 Sept
Maringa FC
2 : 0 Botafogo PB
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1 Floresta EC
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Floresta EC
1 : 1 Botafogo PB
19 Sept
Maringa FC
2 : 0 Botafogo PB
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0 Botafogo PB
29 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2 Botafogo PB
15 Aug
Amazonas
0 : 0 Botafogo PB
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Botafogo PB | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28:19 | 33 |
| 2 | Brusque | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28:22 | 32 |
| 3 | Ferroviaria | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:15 | 30 |
| 4 | Maringa FC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 32:30 | 30 |
| 5 | Floresta EC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 30 |
| 6 | Internacional de Limeira | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 30 |
| 7 | Paysandu PA | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26:27 | 29 |
| 8 | Santa Cruz | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 20:15 | 29 |
| 9 | Ypiranga FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 27:24 | 29 |
| 10 | Guarani | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 34:24 | 28 |
| 11 | Figueirense | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 19:22 | 28 |
| 12 | Maranhao | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 19:18 | 27 |
| 13 | Amazonas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 14 | SER Caxias do Sul | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 17:16 | 25 |
| 15 | Ituano | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18:21 | 22 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 13:25 | 21 |
| 17 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 18 | Anapolis | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 17:22 | 19 |
| 19 | Itabaiana | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:27 | 17 |
| 20 | Confianca | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11:20 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)
