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SER Caxias do Sul vs EC Juventude

Brazil Brazil

Copa Sul-Sudeste Estadio Francisco Stedile, Caxias do Sul
SER Caxias do Sul Logo

SER Caxias do Sul

1 - 0
FT
EC Juventude Logo

EC Juventude

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Gaspar
33'
Safira
44'
Calyson
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
SER Caxias do Sul
20%
Draws
51%
EC Juventude
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: EC Juventude

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • SER Caxias do Sul haven't matched EC Juventude's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • EC Juventude arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor EC Juventude, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
SER Caxias do Sul Clean Sheet 20%
EC Juventude Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SER Caxias do Sul EC Juventude
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.83 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.78 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
SER Caxias do Sul vs EC Juventude
1:0
Jan 22, 2026 Gaucho
EC Juventude vs SER Caxias do Sul
1:0
Feb 1, 2025 Gaucho
SER Caxias do Sul vs EC Juventude
0:2
Feb 19, 2024 Gaucho
EC Juventude vs SER Caxias do Sul
1:1
Feb 27, 2023 Gaucho
SER Caxias do Sul vs EC Juventude
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SER Caxias do Sul Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaspar
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.6
Avg xA / game 0.39

EC Juventude Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SER Caxias do Sul 32 / 100
EC Juventude 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SER Caxias do Sul EC Juventude

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SER Caxias do Sul scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

EC Juventude's defensive record shows goals conceded in 43% of 30 matches.

SER Caxias do Sul has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SER Caxias do Sul VS EC Juventude
0.8 Goals Scored 0.88
1.2 Goals Conceded 0.75
80% Over 1.5 25%
40% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SER Caxias do Sul

(Home)
29 Aug
SER Caxias do Sul
0 : 0
Internacional de Limeira
22 Aug
Santa Cruz
2 : 0
SER Caxias do Sul
16 Aug
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 2
Figueirense
09 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
SER Caxias do Sul
26 Jul
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 2
Botafogo PB
Page 1 of 6

EC Juventude

(Away)
28 Sept
America MG
0 : 1
EC Juventude
19 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 1
EC Juventude
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2
Athletic Club
09 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2
EC Juventude
05 Sept
EC Juventude
2 : 2
Atletico GO
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chapecoense-SC 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
2 Novorizontino 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 SER Caxias do Sul 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
4 Cianorte 6 2 2 2 9:10 8
5 Tombense 6 1 2 3 11:13 5
6 Sampaio Correa FE 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avai 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
2 Volta Redonda 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 Operario-PR 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
4 America MG 6 2 2 2 11:11 8
5 EC Juventude 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
6 Sao Bernardo 6 0 3 3 6:9 3
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)