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SER Caxias do Sul vs EC Juventude

Brazil Brazil

Copa Sul-Sudeste Estadio Francisco Stedile
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Gaspar
33'
Safira
44'
Calyson

AI Match Summary

SER Caxias do Sul in this Copa Sul-Sudeste matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SER Caxias do Sul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
SER Caxias do Sul
33%
Draws
40%
EC Juventude
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: EC Juventude

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • SER Caxias do Sul haven't matched EC Juventude's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans EC Juventude's way, sitting at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Sul-Sudeste fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
SER Caxias do Sul Clean Sheet 20%
EC Juventude Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SER Caxias do Sul EC Juventude
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
SER Caxias do Sul vs EC Juventude
1:0
Jan 22, 2026 Gaucho
EC Juventude vs SER Caxias do Sul
1:0
Feb 1, 2025 Gaucho
SER Caxias do Sul vs EC Juventude
0:2
Feb 19, 2024 Gaucho
EC Juventude vs SER Caxias do Sul
1:1
Feb 27, 2023 Gaucho
SER Caxias do Sul vs EC Juventude
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SER Caxias do Sul Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaspar
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

EC Juventude Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SER Caxias do Sul 28 / 100
EC Juventude 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SER Caxias do Sul EC Juventude

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JUV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SER Caxias do Sul found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

SER Caxias do Sul has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

EC Juventude let in goals in 43% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

SER Caxias do Sul VS EC Juventude
1 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chapecoense-SC64118:513
2Novorizontino63218:511
3SER Caxias do Sul63216:311
4Cianorte62229:108
5Tombense612311:135
6Sampaio Correa FE61237:95
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avai631210:810
2Volta Redonda63129:810
3Operario-PR62315:49
4America MG622211:118
5EC Juventude61144:94
6Sao Bernardo60336:93