Sport Picks
SER Caxias do Sul vs Figueirense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie C Estadio Francisco Stedile, Caxias do Sul 
Match Events
21'
21'
Jhonatan Ribeiro
27'
27'
Baptista Felix L.
39'
39'
Marcelo Freitas
AI Match Summary
The Serie C game between SER Caxias do Sul and Figueirense finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Figueirense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
20%
61%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Figueirense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Figueirense come out ahead of SER Caxias do Sul on wins alone.
- Model gives Figueirense a 61% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
SER Caxias do Sul Clean Sheet 23%
Figueirense Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SER Caxias do Sul | Figueirense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Serie C
SER Caxias do Sul vs Figueirense
1:2
May 5, 2025 Serie C
Figueirense vs SER Caxias do Sul
2:3
Jun 2, 2024 Serie C
SER Caxias do Sul vs Figueirense
2:1
Dec 22, 2001 Serie B
Figueirense vs SER Caxias do Sul
1:0
Dec 4, 2001 Serie B
SER Caxias do Sul vs Figueirense
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SER Caxias do Sul Compare
Top Goalscorer Baptista Felix L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Figueirense Compare
Top Goalscorer Emerson Galego
1 Goals Assists Leader Jhonnathan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SER Caxias do Sul 24 / 100
Figueirense 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SER Caxias do Sul Figueirense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Figueirense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
SER Caxias do Sul scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Figueirense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
SER Caxias do Sul went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
SER Caxias do Sul VS Figueirense
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
SER Caxias do Sul
(Home) 29 Aug
SER Caxias do Sul
0 : 0 Internacional de Limeira
22 Aug
Santa Cruz
2 : 0 SER Caxias do Sul
16 Aug
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 2 Figueirense
09 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2 SER Caxias do Sul
26 Jul
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 2 Botafogo PB
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
SER Caxias do Sul
0 : 0 Internacional de Limeira
16 Aug
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 2 Figueirense
26 Jul
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 2 Botafogo PB
11 Jul
SER Caxias do Sul
0 : 0 Floresta EC
30 Jun
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 1 Anapolis
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Figueirense
(Away) 10 Oct
Figueirense
1 : 0 Hercilio Luz
27 Sept
CA Metropolitano
0 : 1 Figueirense
20 Sept
Santa Catarina
1 : 2 Figueirense
12 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 0 Nacao
05 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 1 Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
CA Metropolitano
0 : 1 Figueirense
20 Sept
Santa Catarina
1 : 2 Figueirense
23 Aug
Internacional de Limeira
0 : 0 Figueirense
16 Aug
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 2 Figueirense
25 Jul
Santa Cruz
0 : 1 Figueirense
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Botafogo PB | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28:19 | 33 |
| 2 | Brusque | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28:22 | 32 |
| 3 | Ferroviaria | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:15 | 30 |
| 4 | Maringa FC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 32:30 | 30 |
| 5 | Floresta EC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 30 |
| 6 | Internacional de Limeira | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 30 |
| 7 | Paysandu PA | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26:27 | 29 |
| 8 | Santa Cruz | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 20:15 | 29 |
| 9 | Ypiranga FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 27:24 | 29 |
| 10 | Guarani | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 34:24 | 28 |
| 11 | Figueirense | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 19:22 | 28 |
| 12 | Maranhao | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 19:18 | 27 |
| 13 | Amazonas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 14 | SER Caxias do Sul | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 17:16 | 25 |
| 15 | Ituano | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18:21 | 22 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 13:25 | 21 |
| 17 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 18 | Anapolis | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 17:22 | 19 |
| 19 | Itabaiana | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:27 | 17 |
| 20 | Confianca | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11:20 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)
