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SER Caxias do Sul vs Floresta EC Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estadio Francisco Stedile, Caxias do Sul
Our Tip

Match Events

58'
Sub
Garraty In: Matheusinho
Out: Garraty
58'
Sub
Joao Celeri In: Gustavinho
Out: Joao Celeri
72'
Sub
Mancha In: Mauricio Ribeiro
Out: Mancha

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
SER Caxias do Sul
30%
Draws
39%
Floresta EC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Floresta EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Floresta EC average 0.9 goals a game right now, well clear of SER Caxias do Sul's 0.83.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on SER Caxias do Sul taking it.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
SER Caxias do Sul Clean Sheet 68%
Floresta EC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SER Caxias do Sul Floresta EC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.83 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Serie C
SER Caxias do Sul vs Floresta EC
0:0
Oct 11, 2025 Serie C
SER Caxias do Sul vs Floresta EC
1:1
Sep 7, 2025 Serie C
Floresta EC vs SER Caxias do Sul
0:0
Apr 13, 2025 Serie C
SER Caxias do Sul vs Floresta EC
1:0
Jun 30, 2024 Serie C
Floresta EC vs SER Caxias do Sul
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SER Caxias do Sul 46 / 100
Floresta EC 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SER Caxias do Sul Floresta EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SER Caxias do Sul found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Floresta EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Solid form: SER Caxias do Sul remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SER Caxias do Sul VS Floresta EC
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SER Caxias do Sul

(Home)
29 Aug
SER Caxias do Sul
0 : 0
Internacional de Limeira
22 Aug
Santa Cruz
2 : 0
SER Caxias do Sul
16 Aug
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 2
Figueirense
09 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
SER Caxias do Sul
26 Jul
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 2
Botafogo PB
Page 1 of 6

Floresta EC

(Away)
03 Oct
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Botafogo PB
26 Sept
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Floresta EC
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1
Floresta EC
06 Sept
Floresta EC
0 : 1
Maringa FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)