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SER Caxias do Sul vs Floresta EC

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estadio Francisco Stedile
Our Tip

Match Events

58'
Sub
Garraty In: Matheusinho
Out: Garraty
58'
Sub
Joao Celeri In: Gustavinho
Out: Joao Celeri
72'
Sub
Mancha In: Mauricio Ribeiro
Out: Mancha

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
SER Caxias do Sul
39%
Draws
31%
Floresta EC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • SER Caxias do Sul have won more games recently than Floresta EC.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
SER Caxias do Sul Clean Sheet 68%
Floresta EC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SER Caxias do Sul Floresta EC
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 11 11
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Serie C
SER Caxias do Sul vs Floresta EC
0:0
Oct 11, 2025 Serie C
SER Caxias do Sul vs Floresta EC
1:1
Sep 7, 2025 Serie C
Floresta EC vs SER Caxias do Sul
0:0
Apr 13, 2025 Serie C
SER Caxias do Sul vs Floresta EC
1:0
Jun 30, 2024 Serie C
Floresta EC vs SER Caxias do Sul
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SER Caxias do Sul 41 / 100
Floresta EC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SER Caxias do Sul Floresta EC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: SER Caxias do Sul remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

SER Caxias do Sul's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Floresta EC let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

SER Caxias do Sul VS Floresta EC
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Internacional de Limeira1474317:1425
2Brusque1473420:1524
3Santa Cruz1473415:1024
4Paysandu PA1472522:1923
5Guarani1465325:1423
6Botafogo PB1471619:1522
7Maringa FC1464427:2422
8Ferroviaria1464415:1222
9SER Caxias do Sul1456313:1021
10Floresta EC1455415:1420
11Ituano1454516:1619
12Ypiranga FC1453617:1918
13Volta Redonda1453610:1518
14Amazonas1452713:1917
15Maranhao1445511:1417
16Figueirense1445512:1817
17Itabaiana1444612:1716
18Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1436517:1615
19Confianca143298:1411
20Anapolis142399:189