Sport Picks
SER Caxias do Sul vs Volta Redonda
Brazil
Copa Sul-Sudeste Estadio Francisco Stedile, Caxias do Sul 
Match Events
13'
13'
Juninho Monteiro
46'
46'
Sub
Lucas Adell In: Fabricio
Out: Lucas Adell
55'
55'
Sub
Vitor Feijao In: Joao Lucas
Out: Vitor Feijao
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SER Caxias do Sul
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to SER Caxias do Sul lately — more wins on the board than Volta Redonda.
- 49% — that's where the model lands on SER Caxias do Sul taking it.
- SER Caxias do Sul have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor SER Caxias do Sul, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Volta Redonda have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
SER Caxias do Sul Clean Sheet 68%
Volta Redonda Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SER Caxias do Sul | Volta Redonda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 1, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
SER Caxias do Sul vs Volta Redonda
2:0
Apr 18, 2026 Serie C
Volta Redonda vs SER Caxias do Sul
1:0
Jun 23, 2024 Serie C
Volta Redonda vs SER Caxias do Sul
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SER Caxias do Sul Compare
Top Goalscorer Salatiel
1 Goals Assists Leader Jhonatan Ribeiro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Volta Redonda Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SER Caxias do Sul 77 / 100
Volta Redonda 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SER Caxias do Sul Volta Redonda
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SER Caxias do Sul Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
SER Caxias do Sul scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Volta Redonda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
Volta Redonda's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
SER Caxias do Sul VS Volta Redonda
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
SER Caxias do Sul
(Home) 29 Aug
SER Caxias do Sul
0 : 0 Internacional de Limeira
22 Aug
Santa Cruz
2 : 0 SER Caxias do Sul
16 Aug
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 2 Figueirense
09 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2 SER Caxias do Sul
26 Jul
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 2 Botafogo PB
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
SER Caxias do Sul
0 : 0 Internacional de Limeira
16 Aug
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 2 Figueirense
26 Jul
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 2 Botafogo PB
11 Jul
SER Caxias do Sul
0 : 0 Floresta EC
30 Jun
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 1 Anapolis
Page 1 of 4
Volta Redonda
(Away) 29 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 0 Volta Redonda
22 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 2 Floresta EC
15 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 0 Ituano
08 Aug
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 0 Volta Redonda
25 Jul
Volta Redonda
1 : 4 Anapolis
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 0 Volta Redonda
08 Aug
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 0 Volta Redonda
16 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1 Volta Redonda
13 Jul
Figueirense
0 : 0 Volta Redonda
04 Jul
Maringa FC
4 : 0 Volta Redonda
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chapecoense-SC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 13 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 3 | SER Caxias do Sul | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 11 |
| 4 | Cianorte | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 5 | Tombense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11:13 | 5 |
| 6 | Sampaio Correa FE | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avai | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 2 | Volta Redonda | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 3 | Operario-PR | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 9 |
| 4 | America MG | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 8 |
| 5 | EC Juventude | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 6 | Sao Bernardo | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)
