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Friendly International 2024 Stadion Karađorđe

Russia U18

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Serbia U19 play Russia U18 in the Friendly International 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Serbia U19 averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Russia U18 averaged 2.04 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Serbia U19 won 1, Russia U18 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 15, 2024 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Serbia U19 and 2.69 for Russia U18. This points to a Russia U18 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Serbia U19

15%

Draws

45%

Russia U18

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Russia U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Serbia U19 picked up more points recently compared to Russia U18.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 2.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 68%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Serbia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Russia U18 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Serbia U19	Russia U18
Matches Played	30	27
Wins	14	16
Draws	4	1
Losses	12	10
Goals Scored	1.93	2.04
Goals Conceded	1.8	1.41
Expected Goals (xG)	3.13	3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2024 Friendly International

Serbia U19 vs Russia U18

Possession: 47% - 59% Cards: 2 - 2

4:2

Oct 13, 2024 Friendly International

Serbia U19 vs Russia U18

Possession: 55% - 46% Cards: 3 - 2

2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serbia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vukojevic V.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Stancic A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.41

Avg xA / game 1.56

Russia U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tikhomirov G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 3.18

Avg xA / game 1.94

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serbia U19 38 / 100

Russia U18 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Serbia U19 Russia U18

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Russia U18 or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.5%

1.61

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Serbia U19 attacking → ← attacking Russia U18

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serbia U19 scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Russia U18 let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Serbia U19 went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Russia U18 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 49

3.13 Goals expected (xG) 3.50

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50