Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Serbia U21 vs Greece U21

World World

Friendly International 2025 Lagator Stadium, Loznica
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Kyriopoulos G.
20' Event
Vlahovic V.
21' Event
Koutsias G.

AI Match Summary

Greece U21 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Greece U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Serbia U21
20%
Draws
28%
Greece U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Serbia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Greece U21 have won more games recently than Serbia U21.
  • 52% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Serbia U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Greece U21 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serbia U21 Greece U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.32 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.43 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2025 Friendly International
Serbia U21 vs Greece U21
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serbia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vlahovic V.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Greece U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kyriopoulos G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Koutsias G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serbia U21 41 / 100
Greece U21 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serbia U21 Greece U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serbia U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serbia U21 scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Serbia U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Greece U21 conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Serbia U21 VS Greece U21
1.38 Goals Scored 2.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Serbia U21

(Home)
25 Sept
Serbia U21
3 : 0
Iraq U23
30 Mar
Kyrgyzstan U23
0 : 2
Serbia U21
26 Mar
Kyrgyzstan U23
2 : 2
Serbia U21
18 Nov
Serbia U21
1 : 0
USA U21
14 Nov
Czech Republic U21
1 : 2
Serbia U21
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Greece U21

(Away)
26 Sept
Georgia U21
0 : 3
Greece U21
30 May
Croatia U21
1 : 1
Greece U21
27 May
Greece U21
1 : 2
Qatar U23
31 Mar
Greece U21
0 : 2
Germany U21
27 Mar
Greece U21
5 : 0
Malta U21
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