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Serbia U21 vs Russia U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Sports Center of FA of Serbia, Stara Pazova
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Match Events

11' Event
Popolitov G.
26' Event
Okishor V.
42' Event
Bober I.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Serbia U21 and Russia U21 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Russia U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Serbia U21
15%
Draws
42%
Russia U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Serbia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Russia U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Serbia U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Russia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serbia U21 Russia U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 19
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.4 2.55
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Friendly International
Serbia U21 vs Russia U21
1:3
Jun 6, 2021 Friendly International
Serbia U21 vs Russia U21
0:0
Nov 19, 2019 Euro U21
Serbia U21 vs Russia U21
0:2
Sep 6, 2019 Euro U21
Russia U21 vs Serbia U21
1:0
Sep 11, 2018 Euro U21
Russia U21 vs Serbia U21
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serbia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mitrovic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Russia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Popolitov G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Okishor V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serbia U21 41 / 100
Russia U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serbia U21 Russia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serbia U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serbia U21's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Russia U21 let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Serbia U21 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Serbia U21 VS Russia U21
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Serbia U21

(Home)
05 Oct
Serbia U21
2 : 1
Russia U21
02 Oct
Serbia U21
1 : 3
Russia U21
28 Sept
Serbia U21
3 : 0
Iraq U23
25 Sept
Serbia U21
3 : 0
Iraq U23
30 Mar
Kyrgyzstan U23
0 : 2
Serbia U21
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Russia U21

(Away)
05 Oct
Serbia U21
2 : 1
Russia U21
02 Oct
Serbia U21
1 : 3
Russia U21
28 Sept
North Macedonia U21
2 : 3
Russia U21
09 Jun
Russia U21
1 : 0
Iraq U23
05 Jun
Russia U21
5 : 1
Iraq U23
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