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Serbia U21 vs Russia U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Mitrovic M.
46' Event
Velickovic M.
64' Event
Pomalyuk A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Serbia U21 and Russia U21 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Serbia U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Serbia U21
15%
Draws
42%
Russia U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Serbia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Russia U21 come out ahead of Serbia U21 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Serbia U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Russia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serbia U21 Russia U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 19
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.4 2.57
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Friendly International
Serbia U21 vs Russia U21
1:3
Jun 6, 2021 Friendly International
Serbia U21 vs Russia U21
0:0
Nov 19, 2019 Euro U21
Serbia U21 vs Russia U21
0:2
Sep 6, 2019 Euro U21
Russia U21 vs Serbia U21
1:0
Sep 11, 2018 Euro U21
Russia U21 vs Serbia U21
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serbia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mitrovic M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Velickovic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Russia U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serbia U21 41 / 100
Russia U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serbia U21 Russia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serbia U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serbia U21 found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Russia U21 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Serbia U21 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Serbia U21 VS Russia U21
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Serbia U21

(Home)
05 Oct
Serbia U21
2 : 1
Russia U21
02 Oct
Serbia U21
1 : 3
Russia U21
28 Sept
Serbia U21
3 : 0
Iraq U23
25 Sept
Serbia U21
3 : 0
Iraq U23
30 Mar
Kyrgyzstan U23
0 : 2
Serbia U21
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Russia U21

(Away)
05 Oct
Serbia U21
2 : 1
Russia U21
02 Oct
Serbia U21
1 : 3
Russia U21
28 Sept
North Macedonia U21
2 : 3
Russia U21
09 Jun
Russia U21
1 : 0
Iraq U23
05 Jun
Russia U21
5 : 1
Iraq U23
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