Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Stadion Rajko Mitić, Belgrade

Serbia

0 - 5

England

Our Tip

Match Events

29'

Lukic S.

33'

Kane H.

Assist: Rice D.

35'

Madueke N.

Assist: Rogers M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Serbia and England finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward England.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%

Serbia

15%

Draws

64%

England

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: England

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and England come out ahead of Serbia on wins alone.
Model gives England a 64% chance of winning this.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
England have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 21%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%

Serbia Clean Sheet 10%

England Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Serbia	England
Matches Played	27	28
Wins	8	21
Draws	7	2
Losses	12	5
Goals Scored	0.93	2.36
Goals Conceded	1.37	0.82
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2025 World Championship

England vs Serbia

2:0

Sep 9, 2025 World Championship

Serbia vs England

0:5

Jun 16, 2024 Euro

Serbia vs England

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serbia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

England Compare

Top Goalscorer Kane H.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Madueke N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.87

Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serbia 10 / 100

England 86 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Serbia England

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick England Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Serbia's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: England conceded in 43% of 28 recent games.

Serbia has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Serbia VS England

0.5 Goals Scored 2.13

2 Goals Conceded 0.75

67% Over 1.5 75%

67% Over 2.5 63%

17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Serbia

(Home)

27 Sept

Serbia

1 : 2

Netherlands

24 Sept

Serbia

1 : 2

Greece

05 Jun

Mexico

5 : 1

Serbia

31 May

Cape Verde

3 : 0

Serbia

31 Mar

Serbia

2 : 1

Saudi Arabia

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England

(Away)

26 Sept

England

2 : 3

Spain

18 Jul

France

4 : 6

England

15 Jul

England

1 : 2

Argentina

11 Jul

Norway

1 : 2

England

06 Jul

Mexico

2 : 3

England

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