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Serbia W vs Finland W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Cup Women Sports Center of FA of Serbia, Stara Pazova
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Serbia W have averaged 1.27 scored and 1.57 conceded recently, against Finland W's 1.5 scored and 1.06 conceded. Past meetings favor Finland W slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 9, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.06 - 1.88) back Finland W to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Serbia W
15%
Draws
85%
Finland W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Finland W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Finland W have won more games recently than Serbia W.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Finland W taking it.
  • Finland W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Finland W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Serbia W Clean Sheet 10%
Finland W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serbia W Finland W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 15
Draws 5 9
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.27 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 World Cup Women
Finland W vs Serbia W
3:1
Jun 3, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Finland W vs Serbia W
1:1
Feb 21, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Serbia W vs Finland W
1:0
Jun 12, 2018 World Cup Women
Serbia W vs Finland W
0:2
Oct 22, 2017 World Cup Women
Finland W vs Serbia W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serbia W 10 / 100
Finland W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serbia W Finland W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serbia W's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Finland W has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Serbia W VS Finland W
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Serbia W

(Home)
09 Oct
Finland W
3 : 1
Serbia W
09 Jun
Serbia W
1 : 4
Denmark W
05 Jun
Italy W
3 : 0
Serbia W
18 Apr
Sweden W
1 : 0
Serbia W
14 Apr
Serbia W
0 : 6
Italy W
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Finland W

(Away)
09 Oct
Finland W
3 : 1
Serbia W
09 Jun
Finland W
3 : 1
Portugal W
05 Jun
Slovakia W
0 : 4
Finland W
18 Apr
Latvia W
0 : 1
Finland W
14 Apr
Finland W
4 : 2
Slovakia W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Slovakia W 1
Ukraine W 3
Greece W 1
England W 3
Finland W 3
Serbia W 1
Belarus W 0
Italy W 2
Northern Ireland W 0
Portugal W 4
Croatia W 0
Iceland W 4
Albania W 0
Wales W 1
Romania W 0
Norway W 2
Israel W 3
Switzerland W 7
Kosovo W 1
Austria W 2
Czech Republic W 0
Scotland W 2
Lithuania W 0
Sweden W 5
Belgium W 1
Poland W 0
Kazakhstan W 0
Ireland W 8
Turkey W 3
Slovenia W 3
Hungary W 0
Netherlands W 8
Final
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