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Serbia W vs Italy W Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

World Cup Women Stadion Dubočica, Leskovac
Serbia W Logo

Serbia W

0 - 6
FT
Italy W Logo

Italy W

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Girelli C.
Assist: Giugliano M.
35' Event
Oliviero E.
Assist: Greggi G.
45' Event
Lenzini M.
Assist: Giugliano M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 0-6.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Serbia W
35%
Draws
58%
Italy W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Italy W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Serbia W come out ahead of Italy W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Italy W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Serbia W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Italy W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Serbia W Clean Sheet 15%
Italy W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serbia W Italy W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 10
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.24 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 World Cup Women
Italy W vs Serbia W
3:0
Apr 14, 2026 World Cup Women
Serbia W vs Italy W
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serbia W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Italy W Compare

Top Goalscorer Girelli C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oliviero E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serbia W 10 / 100
Italy W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serbia W Italy W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Serbia W scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Italy W let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Serbia W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Serbia W VS Italy W
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Serbia W

(Home)
09 Jun
Serbia W
1 : 4
Denmark W
05 Jun
Italy W
3 : 0
Serbia W
18 Apr
Sweden W
1 : 0
Serbia W
14 Apr
Serbia W
0 : 6
Italy W
07 Mar
Serbia W
0 : 0
Sweden W
Page 1 of 6

Italy W

(Away)
09 Jun
Sweden W
2 : 2
Italy W
05 Jun
Italy W
3 : 0
Serbia W
18 Apr
Denmark W
0 : 0
Italy W
14 Apr
Serbia W
0 : 6
Italy W
07 Mar
Italy W
1 : 1
Denmark W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark W 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Italy W 6 2 3 1 12:4 9
3 Sweden W 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 Serbia W 6 0 1 5 2:17 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France W 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Netherlands W 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
3 Ireland W 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
4 Poland W 6 0 1 5 6:15 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain W 6 5 0 1 21:3 15
2 England W 6 5 0 1 13:5 15
3 Iceland W 6 2 0 4 3:12 6
4 Ukraine W 6 0 0 6 2:19 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany W 6 5 1 0 18:1 16
2 Norway W 6 4 0 2 11:9 12
3 Austria W 6 1 1 4 3:9 4
4 Slovenia W 6 1 0 5 3:16 3
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)