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Sergipe U20 vs Falcon U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Brasil U20
Sergipe U20 Logo

Sergipe U20

1 - 0
FT
Falcon U20 Logo

Falcon U20

Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Jhonatan
90'
Lima B.
90'
Oliveira R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Sergipe U20
15%
Draws
50%
Falcon U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Falcon U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Falcon U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Falcon U20 a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Falcon U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Falcon U20, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Falcon U20 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Sergipe U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Falcon U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sergipe U20 Falcon U20
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 19
Draws 2 5
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 2.1 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.62 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Copa do Brasil U20
Sergipe U20 vs Falcon U20
1:0
Sep 5, 2026 Sergipano U20
Sergipe U20 vs Falcon U20
0:2
Jun 5, 2025 Sergipano U20
Falcon U20 vs Sergipe U20
2:0
May 14, 2025 Sergipano U20
Falcon U20 vs Sergipe U20
5:1
Jun 30, 2024 Sergipano U20
Sergipe U20 vs Falcon U20
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sergipe U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jhonatan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Falcon U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sergipe U20 14 / 100
Falcon U20 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sergipe U20 Falcon U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Falcon U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sergipe U20 scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Sergipe U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Falcon U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sergipe U20 VS Falcon U20
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sergipe U20

(Home)
07 Oct
Nautico U20
6 : 2
Sergipe U20
30 Sept
Confianca U20
1 : 2
Sergipe U20
26 Sept
Sergipe U20
1 : 0
Lagarto U20
23 Sept
Sergipe U20
3 : 0
Atletico Gloriense U20
19 Sept
Desportiva Aracaju U20
3 : 1
Sergipe U20
Page 1 of 6

Falcon U20

(Away)
30 Sept
Falcon U20
3 : 0
Atletico Gloriense U20
27 Sept
Desportiva Aracaju U20
1 : 1
Falcon U20
23 Sept
Falcon U20
5 : 0
Guarany SE U20
19 Sept
Itabaiana U20
0 : 4
Falcon U20
16 Sept
Falcon U20
2 : 1
Confianca U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Tuna Luso U20 3
Batalhao U20 0
Uniao Carmolandense U20 2
Miranda do Norte U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 13
Gremio Santo Antonio U20 1
Athletico-PR U20 5
Luverdense U20 2
Ceara U20 2
Atletico-PI U20 1
Ferroviario U20 1
EC de Patos U20 0
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3
Guanabara City U20 1
Goias U20 4
Trindade U20 2
CSA U20 4
Confianca PB U20 0
Santa Cruz U20 3
Clube Sociedade Esportiva U20 0
Sao Raimundo RR U20 7
Genus U20 3
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 1
Uniao Cacoalense U20 0
Amazonas U20 1
Monte Roraima U20 0
Galvez U20 0
Santa Cruz AC U20 5
Atletico-MG U20 4
Sobradinho U20 0
Athletic Club U20 2
Real Brasilia U20 1
Fortaleza U20 1
Piaui U20 2
America RN U20 3
QFC U20 2
Paysandu PA U20 5
Macapa U20 0
Independente AP U20 2
Sao Luis MA U20 0
Palmeiras U20 10
Naviraiense U20 0
Santos U20 2
Cuiaba U20 1
Botafogo RJ U20 4
Estrela De Marco U20 0
Bahia U20 16
Alagoinhas U20 0
Gremio U20 5
Real SC U20 0
Operario PR U20 3
Chapecoense-SC U20 2
Nautico U20 3
America PE U20 1
Sergipe U20 1
Falcon U20 0
Flamengo RJ U20 6
Forte U20 0
Vasco U20 11
Rio Branco ES U20 0
Internacional U20 0
Barra FC U20 1
Criciuma U20 3
FC Cascavel U20 1
1/16-finals
Tuna Luso U20 1
Uniao Carmolandense U20 2
Sao Paulo U20 3
Athletico-PR U20 1
Ceara U20 1
Ferroviario U20 0
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 1
Goias U20 2
CSA U20 0
Santa Cruz U20 1
Sao Raimundo RR U20 4
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 3
Amazonas U20 4
Santa Cruz AC U20 1
Atletico-MG U20 2
Athletic Club U20 1
Piaui U20 2
America RN U20 3
Paysandu PA U20 6
Independente AP U20 0
Palmeiras U20 4
Santos U20 3
Botafogo RJ U20 1
Bahia U20 0
Gremio U20 1
Operario PR U20 3
Nautico U20 6
Sergipe U20 2
Flamengo RJ U20 3
Vasco U20 2
Barra FC U20 0
Criciuma U20 3
1/8-finals
Uniao Carmolandense U20 -
Sao Paulo U20 -
Ceara U20 -
Goias U20 -
Santa Cruz U20 -
Sao Raimundo RR U20 -
Amazonas U20 -
Atletico-MG U20 -
America RN U20 -
Paysandu PA U20 -
Palmeiras U20 -
Botafogo RJ U20 -
Operario PR U20 -
Nautico U20 -
Flamengo RJ U20 -
Criciuma U20 -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -