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Sergipe U20 vs Guarany SE U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano U20
Sergipe U20 Logo

Sergipe U20

5 - 5
FT
Guarany SE U20 Logo

Guarany SE U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Sergipano U20 matchup, with the score ending 5-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Sergipe U20
30%
Draws
18%
Guarany SE U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sergipe U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sergipe U20 lately — more wins on the board than Guarany SE U20.
  • Model gives Sergipe U20 a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Sergipano U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Sergipe U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Guarany SE U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sergipe U20 Guarany SE U20
Matches Played 30 15
Wins 18 4
Draws 3 3
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.07 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Sergipano U20
Sergipe U20 vs Guarany SE U20
5:5
Apr 21, 2025 Sergipano U20
Guarany SE U20 vs Sergipe U20
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sergipe U20 38 / 100
Guarany SE U20 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sergipe U20 Guarany SE U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sergipe U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sergipe U20 scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Guarany SE U20 conceded in 60% of 15 recent games.

Sergipe U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sergipe U20 VS Guarany SE U20
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sergipe U20

(Home)
07 Oct
Nautico U20
6 : 2
Sergipe U20
30 Sept
Confianca U20
1 : 2
Sergipe U20
26 Sept
Sergipe U20
1 : 0
Lagarto U20
23 Sept
Sergipe U20
3 : 0
Atletico Gloriense U20
19 Sept
Desportiva Aracaju U20
3 : 1
Sergipe U20
Page 1 of 6

Guarany SE U20

(Away)
30 Sept
Lagarto U20
0 : 0
Guarany SE U20
27 Sept
Guarany SE U20
1 : 2
Itabaiana U20
23 Sept
Falcon U20
5 : 0
Guarany SE U20
19 Sept
Guarany SE U20
0 : 0
Confianca U20
12 Sept
Sergipe U20
5 : 5
Guarany SE U20
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Falcon U20 7 6 1 0 19:2 19
2 Itabaiana U20 7 4 2 1 17:13 14
3 Desportiva Aracaju U20 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
4 Sergipe U20 7 3 1 3 15:16 10
5 Guarany SE U20 7 2 3 2 12:12 9
6 Confianca U20 7 2 1 4 8:10 7
7 Lagarto U20 7 1 3 3 7:8 6
8 Atletico Gloriense U20 7 0 0 7 0:21 0
Promotion - Sergipano U20 (Play Offs)