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Sergipe U20 vs Lagarto U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Sergipano U20
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AI Match Summary

The Sergipano U20 game between Sergipe U20 and Lagarto U20 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sergipe U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sergipe U20
20%
Draws
29%
Lagarto U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sergipe U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sergipe U20 come out ahead of Lagarto U20 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sergipe U20 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Sergipano U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Sergipe U20 Clean Sheet 14%
Lagarto U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sergipe U20 Lagarto U20
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 9
Draws 3 9
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.07 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.32 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Sergipano U20
Sergipe U20 vs Lagarto U20
1:0
May 18, 2024 Sergipano U20
Lagarto U20 vs Sergipe U20
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sergipe U20 35 / 100
Lagarto U20 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sergipe U20 Lagarto U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sergipe U20 scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Lagarto U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Sergipe U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sergipe U20 VS Lagarto U20
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.14
75% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Sergipe U20

(Home)
07 Oct
Nautico U20
6 : 2
Sergipe U20
30 Sept
Confianca U20
1 : 2
Sergipe U20
26 Sept
Sergipe U20
1 : 0
Lagarto U20
23 Sept
Sergipe U20
3 : 0
Atletico Gloriense U20
19 Sept
Desportiva Aracaju U20
3 : 1
Sergipe U20
Page 1 of 6

Lagarto U20

(Away)
30 Sept
Lagarto U20
0 : 0
Guarany SE U20
26 Sept
Sergipe U20
1 : 0
Lagarto U20
23 Sept
Itabaiana U20
3 : 3
Lagarto U20
19 Sept
Lagarto U20
3 : 0
Atletico Gloriense U20
12 Sept
Falcon U20
2 : 0
Lagarto U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Falcon U20 7 6 1 0 19:2 19
2 Itabaiana U20 7 4 2 1 17:13 14
3 Desportiva Aracaju U20 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
4 Sergipe U20 7 3 1 3 15:16 10
5 Guarany SE U20 7 2 3 2 12:12 9
6 Confianca U20 7 2 1 4 8:10 7
7 Lagarto U20 7 1 3 3 7:8 6
8 Atletico Gloriense U20 7 0 0 7 0:21 0
Promotion - Sergipano U20 (Play Offs)