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Sergipe vs CS Maruinense

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Sergipano 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Doda
(Penalty)
13' Event
Hiago
27' Event
Dias L.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Sergipano 2022 game between Sergipe and CS Maruinense finished 9-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sergipe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Sergipe
30%
Draws
54%
CS Maruinense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CS Maruinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sergipe come out ahead of CS Maruinense on wins alone.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on CS Maruinense taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Sergipano 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sergipe Clean Sheet 20%
CS Maruinense Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sergipe CS Maruinense
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 17 6
Draws 10 5
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.54 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2022 Sergipano
Sergipe vs CS Maruinense
9:0
Feb 9, 2022 Sergipano
CS Maruinense vs Sergipe
1:1
Mar 27, 2021 Sergipano
Sergipe vs CS Maruinense
3:0
Feb 24, 2021 Sergipano
CS Maruinense vs Sergipe
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sergipe Compare

Top Goalscorer Doda
2 Goals
Assists Leader Adailson
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

CS Maruinense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sergipe 24 / 100
CS Maruinense 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sergipe CS Maruinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sergipe scored in 83% of their last 35 outings.

Defensive concern: CS Maruinense conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sergipe stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sergipe VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sergipe

(Home)
27 Jun
Sergipe
0 : 1
ASA
21 Jun
ASA
1 : 1
Sergipe
14 Jun
Sergipe
1 : 1
Serra Branca
31 May
Decisao
3 : 2
Sergipe
23 May
Sergipe
0 : 1
Treze PB
Page 1 of 7

CS Maruinense

(Away)
01 Nov
Estanciano EC
3 : 0
CS Maruinense
25 Oct
CS Maruinense
0 : 1
Estanciano EC
19 Oct
Propria
0 : 0
CS Maruinense
16 Oct
CS Maruinense
4 : 0
Propria
11 Oct
CS Maruinense
3 : 1
Botafogo ASF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itabaiana 10 7 2 1 17:4 23
2 Sergipe 10 6 3 1 26:7 21
3 Atletico Gloriense 10 4 3 3 14:11 15
4 Frei Paulistano 10 4 0 6 12:18 12
5 America de Propria 10 2 1 7 10:22 7
Promotion - Campeonato Sergipano 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Falcon 10 7 0 3 20:7 21
2 Confianca 10 5 5 0 18:6 20
3 Lagarto 10 5 2 3 15:10 17
4 Boca Junior 10 1 1 8 6:23 4
5 CS Maruinense 10 0 1 9 3:33 1
Promotion - Campeonato Sergipano 2022 (Play Offs)