Sport Picks
Serpa vs Vitoria Setubal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D game between Serpa and Vitoria Setubal finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Serpa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Vitoria Setubal carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Serpa's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Vitoria Setubal have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Serpa | Vitoria Setubal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 11 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.06 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Serpa Compare
Vitoria Setubal Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Serpa scored in 76% of their last 33 outings.
Solid form: Serpa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Vitoria Setubal let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Serpa
(Home)Vitoria Setubal
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sintrense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Imortal | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Amora | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Serpa | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 5 | Real SC | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 6 | Juv. Evora | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | 5 |
| 7 | Lagoa | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 5 |
| 8 | GD Alcochetense | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 5 |
| 9 | Vitoria Setubal | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 10 | Portel | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 11 | Lajense | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 12 | 1º Dezembro | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:7 | 2 |
| 13 | Aljustrelense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:8 | 2 |
| 14 | Santa Clara B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | 1 |
