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Serra Macaense vs Goytacaz

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2025
Serra Macaense Logo

Serra Macaense

1 - 0
FT
Goytacaz Logo

Goytacaz

Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Wandinho
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Serra Macaense in this Carioca B2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Serra Macaense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Serra Macaense
20%
Draws
40%
Goytacaz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Goytacaz lately — more wins on the board than Serra Macaense.
  • Serra Macaense are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Carioca B2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Serra Macaense Clean Sheet 15%
Goytacaz Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serra Macaense Goytacaz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 10 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.21 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 Carioca B2
Serra Macaense vs Goytacaz
1:0
Nov 11, 2020 Carioca 2
Serra Macaense vs Goytacaz
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serra Macaense 35 / 100
Goytacaz 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serra Macaense Goytacaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serra Macaense's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Goytacaz has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Difficult form: Goytacaz registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Serra Macaense VS Goytacaz
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.14 Goals Conceded 0.75
71% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Serra Macaense

(Home)
20 Sept
Buzios
0 : 2
Serra Macaense
13 Sept
Serra Macaense
1 : 2
Paduano EC
07 Sept
7 de Abril
2 : 2
Serra Macaense
30 Aug
Serra Macaense
0 : 1
Friburguense
09 Nov
Belford Roxo
2 : 0
Serra Macaense
Page 1 of 6

Goytacaz

(Away)
19 Sept
Goytacaz
0 : 2
Goncalense
12 Sept
Serrano FC
0 : 0
Goytacaz
05 Sept
Goytacaz
1 : 0
Macae
24 Jun
America RJ
:
Goytacaz
17 Jun
Goytacaz
:
America RJ
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz RJ 8 7 1 0 14:3 22
2 Belford Roxo 8 5 1 2 17:8 16
3 Goytacaz 8 5 1 2 13:8 16
4 Macae 8 4 1 3 13:5 13
5 Serra Macaense 8 3 4 1 9:7 13
6 Paraty 8 2 2 4 9:10 8
7 7 de Abril 8 2 2 4 11:13 8
8 FC Rio de Janeiro 8 1 0 7 7:25 3
9 Barra Mansa 8 0 2 6 4:18 2
Promotion - Carioca B2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Main)