Sport Picks
Serra Macaense vs Paduano EC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Carioca B2 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Carioca B2 game between Serra Macaense and Paduano EC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paduano EC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Serra Macaense carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Carioca B2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Serra Macaense | Paduano EC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Serra Macaense scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Paduano EC conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Serra Macaense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Serra Macaense
(Home)Paduano EC
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Friburguense | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 17 |
| 2 | Serra Macaense | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Cardoso Moreira | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 4 | Belford Roxo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 12 |
| 5 | Santa Cruz RJ | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 6 | Paduano EC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 7 | FC Rio de Janeiro | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:7 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 de Abril | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 10 |
| 9 | Campos AA | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Barra Mansa | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:10 | 7 |
| 11 | Buzios | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5:18 | 3 |
| 12 | Paraty | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4:21 | 0 |
