Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Serra vs Porto Vitoria

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba Estadio Kleber Andrade, Cariacica
Serra Logo

Serra

2 - 1
FT
Porto Vitoria Logo

Porto Vitoria

Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Brizuela O.
40' Event
Victor Rangel
42'
Victor Rangel
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Serra
30%
Draws
62%
Porto Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Porto Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Serra come out ahead of Porto Vitoria on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Porto Vitoria's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Serra have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Serra, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Serra Clean Sheet 18%
Porto Vitoria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serra Porto Vitoria
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 18 14
Draws 3 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.64 1.44
Goals Conceded 1 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Serra vs Porto Vitoria
1:1
Mar 28, 2026 Capixaba
Serra vs Porto Vitoria
2:1
Mar 21, 2026 Capixaba
Porto Vitoria vs Serra
3:1
Feb 4, 2026 Capixaba
Porto Vitoria vs Serra
0:1
Jul 15, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Porto Vitoria vs Serra
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serra Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcudinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hygor
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Porto Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Victor Rangel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serra 10 / 100
Porto Vitoria 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serra Porto Vitoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porto Vitoria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serra found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (33 games).

Porto Vitoria has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Serra went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Serra VS Porto Vitoria
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Serra

(Home)
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
30 May
Serra
1 : 1
Porto Vitoria
24 May
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Serra
20 May
Vitoria ES
3 : 2
Serra
09 May
Serra
2 : 3
Vilavelhense
Page 1 of 7

Porto Vitoria

(Away)
20 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 3
Rio Branco-VN
14 Jun
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Porto Vitoria
06 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0
Sport-ES
30 May
Serra
1 : 1
Porto Vitoria
22 May
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Rio Branco ES 1
Porto Vitoria 2
Vitoria ES 5
Forte 2
Vilavelhense 2
Desportiva Ferroviaria 2
Serra 2
Real Noroeste 2
Semi-finals
Porto Vitoria 6
Vitoria ES 5
Vilavelhense 1
Serra 3
Final
Porto Vitoria 4
Serra 3