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Serranense vs Contagem

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2023 game between Serranense and Contagem finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Contagem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Serranense
35%
Draws
52%
Contagem
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Contagem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Serranense haven't matched Contagem's recent run of results.
  • Contagem are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Serranense Clean Sheet 10%
Contagem Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serranense Contagem
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 0.83 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.17 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2023 Mineiro 3
Serranense vs Contagem
0:1
Sep 16, 2023 Mineiro 3
Contagem vs Serranense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serranense 10 / 100
Contagem 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serranense Contagem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Contagem Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serranense's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Contagem's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Serranense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Serranense VS Contagem
0.71 Goals Scored 1
2.71 Goals Conceded 0.88
71% Over 1.5 50%
71% Over 2.5 25%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Serranense

(Home)
11 Oct
Serranense
0 : 1
Boston City
05 Oct
Coimbra Esporte Clube
6 : 1
Serranense
27 Sept
Serranense
2 : 2
Tupi-MG
20 Sept
Novo Esporte
3 : 0
Serranense
06 Sept
Serranense
0 : 0
Uniao Luziense
Page 1 of 6

Contagem

(Away)
03 Nov
Tupynambas
2 : 1
Contagem
26 Oct
Contagem
0 : 0
Tupynambas
19 Oct
Contagem
5 : 0
Boston City
12 Oct
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Contagem
05 Oct
America TO
0 : 1
Contagem
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America TO 6 5 1 0 8:2 16
2 Valeriodoce 6 4 0 2 6:4 12
3 Juventus Minasnovense 6 2 1 3 7:7 7
4 Boston City 6 0 0 6 4:12 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarani-MG 6 5 0 1 10:2 15
2 Pocos de Caldas 6 3 1 2 6:6 10
3 Villa Real 5 1 1 3 1:4 4
4 Tres Coracoes 5 1 0 4 2:7 3
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Contagem 6 4 1 1 5:2 13
2 Coimbra Esporte Clube 6 3 2 1 13:3 11
3 Inter de Minas 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
4 Serranense 6 0 0 6 4:19 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mamore 8 6 2 0 16:4 20
2 Araxa 8 4 2 2 11:6 14
3 Paracatu 7 3 1 3 9:8 10
4 Nacional Uberaba 7 1 3 3 4:9 6
5 Pirapora 8 1 0 7 3:16 3
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)