Sport Picks
Serrano FC vs AA Carapebus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
Serrano FC host AA Carapebus in the Carioca B1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Serrano FC have averaged 1.11 scored and 1.17 conceded recently, against AA Carapebus's 1.11 scored and 1.36 conceded. Head-to-head, Serrano FC have won 0 to AA Carapebus's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 18, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.96 xG vs 1.28) point toward Serrano FC. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- AA Carapebus haven't matched Serrano FC's recent run of results.
- Model gives Serrano FC a 62% chance of winning this.
- Regular Carioca B1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Serrano FC | AA Carapebus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 13 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.96 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Serrano FC's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 35 recent games.
AA Carapebus let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.
Serrano FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
AA Carapebus lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Serrano FC
(Home)AA Carapebus
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Niteroiense | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 13 |
| 2 | Goncalense | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 3 | Goytacaz | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 10 |
| 4 | Duque de Caxias | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Artsul | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | 9 |
| 6 | Campo Grande | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 7 | Serrano FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 8 |
| 8 | Macae | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 9 | Sao Cristovao | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 10 | Nova Cidade | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:8 | 2 |
| 11 | AA Carapebus | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:10 | 1 |
| 12 | Audax RJ | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:8 | 1 |