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Serrano FC vs Americano

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Guilherme Xuxa
20' Event
Pepeu
66' Event
dos Santos A.

AI Match Summary

The Carioca 2 game between Serrano FC and Americano finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Americano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Serrano FC
20%
Draws
51%
Americano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Americano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Americano come out ahead of Serrano FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Americano a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Serrano FC Clean Sheet 16%
Americano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serrano FC Americano
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 10 8
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Carioca 2
Serrano FC vs Americano
1:2
Jul 13, 2024 Carioca 2
Americano vs Serrano FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serrano FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme Xuxa
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26

Americano Compare

Top Goalscorer Pepeu
1 Goals
Assists Leader dos Santos A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serrano FC 11 / 100
Americano 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serrano FC Americano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Americano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Serrano FC scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Americano has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Serrano FC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Serrano FC VS Americano
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Serrano FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Audax RJ
0 : 1
Serrano FC
12 Sept
Serrano FC
0 : 0
Goytacaz
05 Sept
Niteroiense
2 : 0
Serrano FC
04 Jul
America RJ
5 : 0
Serrano FC
27 Jun
Serrano FC
0 : 3
Sao Goncalo
Page 1 of 6

Americano

(Away)
01 Aug
Americano
2 : 0
Resende
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Americano
23 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
1 : 0
Americano
18 Jul
Americano
4 : 1
America RJ
15 Jul
Americano
1 : 1
Portuguesa RJ
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Americano 11 8 1 2 18:9 25
2 Marica 11 7 3 1 11:7 24
3 Resende 11 5 4 2 16:9 19
4 America RJ 11 5 1 5 18:14 16
5 Perolas Negras 11 5 1 5 11:15 16
6 Sao Goncalo 11 4 2 5 11:10 14
7 Bonsucesso 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
8 Olaria 11 3 4 4 11:11 13
9 Cabofriense 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
10 CEAC/Araruama 11 3 2 6 11:15 11
11 Serrano FC 11 2 5 4 10:18 11
12 Audax RJ 11 3 0 8 10:17 9
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)