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Serrano FC vs Campo Grande - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Esteves Kurpan Nogueira M.
29'
Esteves Kurpan Nogueira M.
66' Event
Caio Ferraz

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B1 game between Serrano FC and Campo Grande finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Serrano FC
35%
Draws
32%
Campo Grande
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Campo Grande carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Serrano FC's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Carioca B1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Serrano FC Clean Sheet 19%
Campo Grande Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serrano FC Campo Grande
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 12 8
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Carioca B1
Serrano FC vs Campo Grande
1:1
Sep 7, 2025 Carioca B1
Campo Grande vs Serrano FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serrano FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Uelber
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Campo Grande Compare

Top Goalscorer Caio Ferraz
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serrano FC 36 / 100
Campo Grande 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serrano FC Campo Grande

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serrano FC found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Serrano FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Campo Grande's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Serrano FC VS Campo Grande
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.83
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Serrano FC

(Home)
03 Oct
Artsul
3 : 4
Serrano FC
26 Sept
Serrano FC
1 : 1
Campo Grande
19 Sept
Audax RJ
0 : 1
Serrano FC
12 Sept
Serrano FC
0 : 0
Goytacaz
05 Sept
Niteroiense
2 : 0
Serrano FC
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Campo Grande

(Away)
03 Oct
Campo Grande
0 : 0
Goncalense
26 Sept
Serrano FC
1 : 1
Campo Grande
19 Sept
Campo Grande
2 : 1
Macae
12 Sept
Artsul
3 : 2
Campo Grande
05 Sept
Campo Grande
1 : 0
AA Carapebus
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niteroiense 5 4 1 0 7:1 13
2 Goncalense 6 2 4 0 7:4 10
3 Goytacaz 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
4 Duque de Caxias 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
5 Artsul 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
6 Campo Grande 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
7 Serrano FC 5 2 2 1 6:6 8
8 Macae 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
9 Sao Cristovao 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
10 Nova Cidade 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
11 AA Carapebus 5 0 1 4 4:10 1
12 Audax RJ 5 0 1 4 2:8 1
Promotion - Carioca B1 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2027 (Main)