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Serrano PB vs America RN

Brazil Brazil

Serie D 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

America RN in this Serie D 2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored America RN.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Serrano PB
30%
Draws
47%
America RN
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: America RN

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • America RN have won more games recently than Serrano PB.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Serrano PB Clean Sheet 20%
America RN Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serrano PB America RN
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 4 19
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.04 1.84
Goals Conceded 2.46 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.61 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2019 Serie D
America RN vs Serrano PB
8:0
May 4, 2019 Serie D
Serrano PB vs America RN
0:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serrano PB 36 / 100
America RN 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serrano PB America RN

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America RN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Serrano PB's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Serrano PB has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

America RN's defensive record shows goals conceded in 41% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Serrano PB VS America RN
0.6 Goals Scored 1.25
0.6 Goals Conceded 0.63
60% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Serrano PB

(Home)
20 Sept
Serrano PB
1 : 1
Sport PB
17 Sept
Spartax
1 : 1
Serrano PB
12 Sept
Serrano PB
1 : 1
Cruzeiro-PB
21 Sept
Serrano PB
5 : 1
Spartax
18 Sept
Sao Paulo Crystal
3 : 0
Serrano PB
Page 1 of 6

America RN

(Away)
26 Jul
Gama
4 : 2
America RN
19 Jul
America RN
1 : 0
Gama
13 Jul
America RN
2 : 1
Trem
04 Jul
Trem
1 : 4
America RN
27 Jun
America RN
1 : 0
Fluminense-PI
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo RR 6 4 0 2 15:6 12
2 Fast Clube 6 2 3 1 9:5 9
3 Barcelona RO 6 2 2 2 7:10 8
4 Rio Branco AC 6 1 1 4 6:16 4
Promotion - Serie D 2019 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manaus FC 6 4 2 0 16:7 14
2 Real Ariquemes 6 3 2 1 9:9 11
3 Galvez 6 1 3 2 10:12 6
4 Santos AP 6 0 1 5 3:10 1
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moto Club 6 4 2 0 16:4 14
2 Sao Raimundo PA 6 4 1 1 12:7 13
3 Ypiranga AP 6 1 2 3 8:13 5
4 Atl. Roraima 6 0 1 5 3:15 1
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino PA 6 3 0 3 8:7 9
2 Floresta EC 6 2 3 1 11:7 9
3 River-PI 6 2 3 1 10:7 9
4 Santa Cruz de Natal 6 1 2 3 6:14 5
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Cearense 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Central SC 6 3 0 3 10:7 9
3 AE Altos 6 3 0 3 7:10 9
4 Maranhao 6 1 0 5 10:16 3
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America RN 6 4 2 0 20:1 14
2 America PE 6 3 1 2 8:8 10
3 Bahia de Feira 6 3 1 2 12:5 7
4 Serrano PB 6 0 0 6 2:28 0
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jacuipense 6 5 0 1 11:2 15
2 ASA 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
3 Campinense 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
4 Academica Vitoria 6 0 0 6 3:16 0
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense de Feira 6 3 3 0 8:4 12
2 Salgueiro 6 2 4 0 8:6 10
3 Sergipe 6 1 2 3 11:10 5
4 Coruripe 6 1 1 4 2:9 4
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itabaiana 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
2 Juazeirense 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
3 Aparecidense 6 3 0 3 8:5 9
4 Interporto 6 0 1 5 2:13 1
5 Gurupi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipora 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
2 Sinop FC 6 2 3 1 7:8 9
3 Corumbaense 6 2 1 3 9:9 7
4 Palmas 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
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League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Patrocinense 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
2 Uniao Rondonopolis 6 3 1 2 10:9 10
3 Anapolina 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 Operario MS 6 1 2 3 6:9 5
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League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caldense 6 5 1 0 7:1 16
2 Vitoria ES 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
3 Portuguesa RJ 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 Sobradinho 6 0 0 6 1:9 0
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League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 6 3 3 0 5:2 12
2 Ituano 6 3 2 1 11:3 11
3 URT 6 1 3 2 2:3 6
4 Serra 6 0 2 4 1:11 2
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League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 6 4 2 0 13:3 14
2 Hercilio Luz 6 3 0 3 5:6 9
3 Itaborai 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
4 Tupi-MG 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
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League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brusque 6 5 0 1 15:6 15
2 Boavista 6 5 0 1 9:5 15
3 SC Gaucho 6 1 0 5 5:8 3
4 Foz do Iguacu 6 1 0 5 3:13 3
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League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cianorte 6 4 1 1 5:3 13
2 SER Caxias do Sul 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
3 Sao Caetano 6 1 2 3 7:7 5
4 Tubarao 6 1 1 4 7:13 4
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League Standings (Group 17)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avenida 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
2 Ferroviaria 6 3 0 3 4:3 9
3 Maringa FC 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
4 Joinville 6 2 1 3 3:4 7
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