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Serrano PB vs Femar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Serrano PB host Femar in the Paraibano 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Serrano PB have averaged 1.15 scored and 2.37 conceded recently, against Femar's 0.71 scored and 2.71 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.06, favoring Serrano PB. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Serrano PB
35%
Draws
9%
Femar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Serrano PB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Serrano PB come out ahead of Femar on wins alone.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Serrano PB taking it.
  • Regular Paraibano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Serrano PB Clean Sheet 20%
Femar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serrano PB Femar
Matches Played 27 7
Wins 4 0
Draws 10 1
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.15 0.71
Goals Conceded 2.37 2.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serrano PB 76 / 100
Femar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serrano PB Femar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serrano PB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Femar let in goals in 100% of their last 7 matches.

Serrano PB's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: Serrano PB stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Femar has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Serrano PB VS Femar
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Serrano PB

(Home)
01 Oct
Serrano PB
2 : 0
Desportiva Guarabira
27 Sept
Serrano PB
1 : 1
Picuiense
24 Sept
Santa Rita
2 : 0
Serrano PB
20 Sept
Serrano PB
1 : 1
Sport PB
17 Sept
Spartax
1 : 1
Serrano PB
Page 1 of 6

Femar

(Away)
03 Oct
Femar
0 : 2
Sao Paulo Crystal
30 Sept
Cruzeiro-PB
3 : 1
Femar
26 Sept
Femar
1 : 1
Spartax
23 Sept
Sport PB
3 : 1
Femar
20 Sept
Desportiva Guarabira
5 : 0
Femar
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auto Esporte 7 5 2 0 16:4 17
2 Santa Rita 7 5 0 2 16:8 15
3 Desportiva Guarabira 7 4 1 2 14:3 13
4 Cruzeiro-PB 7 2 4 1 5:3 10
5 Spartax 7 2 4 1 10:9 10
6 Sao Paulo Crystal 7 2 3 2 7:10 9
7 Serrano PB 7 1 4 2 6:9 7
8 Sport PB 7 1 3 3 5:8 6
9 Picuiense 7 1 2 4 4:15 5
10 Femar 7 0 1 6 5:19 1
Promotion - Paraibano 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paraibano 2 (Play Offs)