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Serrano PE vs Decisao

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Serrano PE play Decisao in the Pernambucano 2 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Serrano PE averaged 0.67 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Decisao averaged 1.12 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Serrano PE won 0, Decisao won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 25, 2022 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Serrano PE and 1.11 for Decisao. This points to a Decisao double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Serrano PE
25%
Draws
53%
Decisao
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Decisao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Serrano PE picked up more points recently compared to Decisao.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Serrano PE Clean Sheet 21%
Decisao Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serrano PE Decisao
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 5 16
Draws 8 10
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.67 1.12
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.4

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2022 Pernambucano 2
Serrano PE vs Decisao
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serrano PE 24 / 100
Decisao 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serrano PE Decisao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Decisao Win (2)
Secondary Pick Decisao & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +57.1%
7.14
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Serrano PE attacking → ← attacking Decisao

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serrano PE scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Decisao let in goals in 74% of their last 42 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Serrano PE went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Decisao lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 58
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Flamengo Arcoverde540111:312
2Decisao52305:39
3Petrolina522112:38
41º de Maio51313:36
5Pesqueira51228:55
6Serrano PE50051:230
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Central SC54017:112
2Maguary53117:310
3Ypiranga52214:38
4Belo Jardim51223:35
5CA Porto51223:45
6Cha Grande50140:101
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico Torres541011:213
2America PE52219:98
3Vera Cruz52125:37
4Academica Vitoria52035:56
5Sete de Setembro (PE)52035:96
6Santa Fe PE50232:92
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico PE651015:416
2Ipojuca650114:315
3Ferroviario do Cabo62318:59
4Centro Limoeirense622211:58
5Jaguar62047:176
6Cabense61239:125
7Timbauba FC60060:180