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Serrano PE vs Ypiranga

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 3 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 3 2023 game between Serrano PE and Ypiranga finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ypiranga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Serrano PE
35%
Draws
28%
Ypiranga
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Serrano PE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ypiranga come out ahead of Serrano PE on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ypiranga's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ypiranga here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Serrano PE Clean Sheet 17%
Ypiranga Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serrano PE Ypiranga
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 12
Draws 7 11
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 0.5 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.33 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2023 Pernambucano 3
Serrano PE vs Ypiranga
0:2
Sep 7, 2021 Pernambucano 2
Serrano PE vs Ypiranga
0:6
Apr 5, 2009 Pernambucano
Ypiranga vs Serrano PE
9:0
Feb 8, 2009 Pernambucano
Serrano PE vs Ypiranga
2:3
Apr 16, 2008 Pernambucano
Ypiranga vs Serrano PE
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serrano PE 28 / 100
Ypiranga 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serrano PE Ypiranga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YPI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Serrano PE scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Ypiranga let in goals in 47% of their last 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Serrano PE stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Serrano PE VS Ypiranga
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Serrano PE

(Home)
25 Nov
Serrano PE
1 : 2
Aguia FC
18 Nov
Cabense
4 : 0
Serrano PE
05 Nov
Serrano PE
0 : 2
Ypiranga
28 Oct
Ipojuca
0 : 1
Serrano PE
22 Oct
Serrano PE
1 : 1
Barreiros FC
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Ypiranga

(Away)
18 Oct
Ypiranga
1 : 2
Academica Vitoria
11 Oct
Aguia FC
2 : 0
Ypiranga
08 Oct
Ypiranga
1 : 1
Caruaru
27 Sept
CA Porto
0 : 0
Ypiranga
20 Sept
Academica Vitoria
0 : 0
Ypiranga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ypiranga 6 5 0 1 10:2 15
2 Ipojuca 6 4 1 1 13:2 13
3 Cabense 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
4 Santa Fe PE 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
5 Barreiros FC 6 1 2 3 4:13 5
6 Serrano PE 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
7 Aguia FC 6 1 0 5 3:10 3
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2024 (Main)