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Serrano vs Doce Mel

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2010 game between Serrano and Doce Mel finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Serrano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Serrano
30%
Draws
23%
Doce Mel
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Serrano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Doce Mel haven't matched Serrano's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Serrano a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Serrano here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Serrano Clean Sheet 20%
Doce Mel Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serrano Doce Mel
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 6 10
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.07 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2010 Baiano 2
Doce Mel vs Serrano
0:1
Apr 17, 2010 Baiano 2
Serrano vs Doce Mel
2:0
Aug 31, 2008 Baiano 2
Doce Mel vs Serrano
0:0
Aug 23, 2008 Baiano 2
Serrano vs Doce Mel
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serrano 40 / 100
Doce Mel 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serrano Doce Mel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serrano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serrano found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Doce Mel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Doce Mel registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Doce Mel
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Serrano

(Home)
13 Sept
Central SC
3 : 0
Serrano
06 Sept
Serrano
3 : 1
Treze PB
30 Aug
Estanciano EC
3 : 1
Serrano
16 Aug
Serrano
0 : 1
Goianesia
02 Aug
Goianesia
0 : 0
Serrano
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Doce Mel

(Away)
26 Feb
Alagoinhas
0 : 0
Doce Mel
11 Feb
Doce Mel
0 : 1
Bahia
08 Feb
Itabuna
1 : 1
Doce Mel
04 Feb
Doce Mel
1 : 2
Juazeirense
29 Jan
Barcelona FC
3 : 0
Doce Mel
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juazeirense 8 4 3 1 17:8 15
2 Camacariense 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
3 Catuense 8 3 2 3 10:8 11
4 Galicia 8 3 2 3 11:14 11
5 EC Ypiranga 8 1 1 6 8:19 4
Promotion - Baiano 2 2010 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serrano 8 5 2 1 13:6 17
2 Juazeiro 8 5 1 2 16:12 16
3 Doce Mel 8 4 1 3 11:7 13
4 Esporte Clube Pocoes 8 1 2 5 11:19 5
5 Guanambi AC 8 0 4 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Baiano 2 2010 (Play Offs)