Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-4, with Madre de Deus advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Madre de Deus's 1.47 goals per match outpaces what Serrano have produced (1.07).
- Win probability leans Madre de Deus's way, sitting at 60%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Madre de Deus, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Serrano | Madre de Deus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 13 |
| Losses | 17 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.87 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Madre de Deus has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Serrano scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Serrano went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
