Sport Picks
Sertanense vs Mortagua FC
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 game between Sertanense and Mortagua FC finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mortagua FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Mortagua FC come out ahead of Sertanense on wins alone.
- Sertanense are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sertanense | Mortagua FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 5 | 15 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sertanense Compare
Mortagua FC Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Mortagua FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.
Mortagua FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Sertanense's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Sertanense
(Home)Mortagua FC
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O Elvas CAD | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 41:10 | 65 |
| 2 | Fatima | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 30:12 | 49 |
| 3 | Arronches Benfica | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 27:17 | 48 |
| 4 | GD Peniche | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 31:23 | 39 |
| 5 | Os Marialvas | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 30:28 | 37 |
| 6 | Mortagua FC | 26 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 23:21 | 37 |
| 7 | Marinhense | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 24:21 | 36 |
| 8 | Alverca B | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28:25 | 35 |
| 9 | SB Castelo Branco | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 23:21 | 34 |
| 10 | SC Pombal | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 29:34 | 32 |
| 11 | Uniao de Coimbra | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 26:44 | 25 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23:33 | 21 |
| 13 | Alcains | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17:36 | 18 |
| 14 | Pero Pinheiro | 26 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 12:39 | 12 |