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Sertaozinho vs Guacuano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 2012
Sertaozinho Logo

Sertaozinho

1 - 1
FT
Guacuano Logo

Guacuano

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A3 2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sertaozinho
15%
Draws
0%
Guacuano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sertaozinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sertaozinho lately — more wins on the board than Guacuano.
  • Model gives Sertaozinho a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista A3 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sertaozinho Clean Sheet 20%
Guacuano Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sertaozinho Guacuano
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.16 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2014 Paulista A3
Sertaozinho vs Guacuano
1:0
Mar 3, 2013 Paulista A3
Guacuano vs Sertaozinho
2:2
Feb 25, 2012 Paulista A3
Sertaozinho vs Guacuano
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sertaozinho 49 / 100
Guacuano 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sertaozinho Guacuano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sertaozinho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guacuano conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Guacuano lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Sertaozinho found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sertaozinho VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sertaozinho

(Home)
15 Apr
Sao Jose EC
5 : 0
Sertaozinho
08 Apr
Sertaozinho
0 : 1
Ferroviaria
28 Mar
Sertaozinho
0 : 2
Juventus-SP
22 Mar
Juventus-SP
2 : 1
Sertaozinho
19 Mar
Ferroviaria
1 : 2
Sertaozinho
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Guacuano

(Away)
13 Apr
Independente SP
3 : 0
Guacuano
06 Apr
Guacuano
1 : 3
Juventus-SP
02 Apr
Tupa
2 : 0
Guacuano
29 Mar
Sertaozinho
1 : 0
Guacuano
26 Mar
Guacuano
0 : 4
Noroeste
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco SP 19 11 5 3 32:18 38
2 GE Osasco 19 10 4 5 30:20 34
3 Guacuano 19 8 8 3 33:18 32
4 Capivariano 19 9 4 6 32:36 31
5 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 35:21 30
6 Marilia 19 9 1 9 24:24 28
7 Juventus-SP 19 7 7 5 35:24 28
8 Batatais 19 7 7 5 23:16 28
9 Sao Bento 19 7 7 5 26:23 28
10 Francana 19 7 6 6 28:24 27
11 Taubate 19 8 2 9 24:27 26
12 Barretos EC 19 7 5 7 21:20 26
13 Sertaozinho 19 7 4 8 23:25 25
14 Itapirense 19 7 4 8 20:23 25
15 Independente SP 19 7 3 9 25:23 24
16 Flamengo SP 19 7 1 11 24:35 22
17 Inter de Bebedouro 19 6 4 9 25:37 22
18 XV de Jau 19 5 7 7 17:24 22
19 Osvaldo Cruz 19 4 2 13 16:41 14
20 Taboao da Serra 19 3 5 11 20:34 14
Promotion - Paulista A3 2012 (Second stage)