Sport Picks
SESP Brasilia vs Gremio Valparaiso
Brazil
Brasiliense 2 2024 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Brasiliense 2 2024 game between SESP Brasilia and Gremio Valparaiso finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SESP Brasilia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Gremio Valparaiso carry the better recent record into this one.
- SESP Brasilia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SESP Brasilia | Gremio Valparaiso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 9 | 14 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 2.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SESP Brasilia Compare
Gremio Valparaiso Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gremio Valparaiso has conceded goals in 86% of their last 14 outings.
SESP Brasilia scored in 67% of their last 9 games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
SESP Brasilia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taguatinga | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 22:2 | 17 |
| 2 | Sobradinho | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 29:5 | 15 |
| 3 | SESP Brasilia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:2 | 14 |
| 4 | Legiao | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:3 | 13 |
| 5 | Luziania | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17:8 | 9 |
| 6 | Gremio Valparaiso | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:21 | 9 |
| 7 | Riacho City | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6:40 | 3 |
| 8 | Botafogo DF | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3:30 | 0 |