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SESP Brasilia vs Riacho City

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Lima
72'
Medeiros de Souza Y.
72'
Medeiros de Souza Y.

AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense 2 2024 game between SESP Brasilia and Riacho City finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SESP Brasilia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
SESP Brasilia
6%
Draws
4%
Riacho City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: SESP Brasilia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Riacho City haven't matched SESP Brasilia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans SESP Brasilia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Brasiliense 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
SESP Brasilia Clean Sheet 20%
Riacho City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SESP Brasilia Riacho City
Matches Played 9 14
Wins 4 2
Draws 2 1
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 4.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 4.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2024 Brasiliense 2
SESP Brasilia vs Riacho City
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SESP Brasilia Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ian
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Riacho City Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SESP Brasilia 85 / 100
Riacho City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SESP Brasilia Riacho City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riacho City let in goals in 100% of their last 14 matches.

SESP Brasilia found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (9 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

SESP Brasilia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SESP Brasilia VS Riacho City
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 4.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Taguatinga752022:217
2Sobradinho743029:515
3SESP Brasilia742110:214
4Legiao741216:313
5Luziania730417:89
6Gremio Valparaiso73048:219
7Riacho City71066:403
8Botafogo DF70073:300