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Sestao vs Arenas Getxo

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Sat, Aug 23, 2025
VS
09:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sestao host Arenas Getxo in the Club Friendly 2025. This one's hard to separate. Sestao have averaged 1.14 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Arenas Getxo's 1.36 scored and 1.61 conceded. Past meetings favor Sestao slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 23, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.00) point toward Sestao. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Sestao
20%
Draws
9%
Arenas Getxo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sestao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Arenas Getxo average 1.36 goals a game right now, well clear of Sestao's 1.14.
  • 71% — that's where the model lands on Sestao taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sestao Clean Sheet 20%
Arenas Getxo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sestao Arenas Getxo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 10 6
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.36
Goals Conceded 1 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Sestao vs Arenas Getxo
0:0
Aug 16, 2023 Club Friendly
Sestao vs Arenas Getxo
0:2
Feb 18, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Arenas Getxo vs Sestao
1:1
Oct 2, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Sestao vs Arenas Getxo
3:1
Feb 13, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Sestao vs Arenas Getxo
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sestao 85 / 100
Arenas Getxo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sestao Arenas Getxo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sestao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arenas Getxo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Sestao has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sestao's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sestao VS Arenas Getxo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sestao

(Home)
16 Sept
Comillas CF
1 : 2
Sestao
13 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0
Real Oviedo B
09 Sept
CF Badalona
2 : 3
Sestao
06 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 1
Sestao
29 Aug
Derio
0 : 1
Sestao
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Arenas Getxo

(Away)
13 Sept
Arenas Getxo
1 : 2
Zamora
05 Sept
Pontevedra
4 : 1
Arenas Getxo
29 Aug
Arenas Getxo
1 : 1
Racing Club Ferrol
22 Aug
CD Laredo
1 : 0
Arenas Getxo
15 Aug
Arenas Getxo
1 : 1
Osasuna
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