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Sestao vs Portugalete - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Lopez J.
38'
Gonzalez I.
77' Event
Bengoetxea A.

AI Match Summary

Sestao in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sestao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Sestao
15%
Draws
31%
Portugalete
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sestao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Portugalete have won more games recently than Sestao.
  • Sestao are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Sestao Clean Sheet 68%
Portugalete Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sestao Portugalete
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 19
Draws 10 6
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.25 1.77
Goals Conceded 0.96 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Sestao vs Portugalete
2:1
Aug 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portugalete vs Sestao
1:0
Feb 15, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sestao vs Portugalete
2:2
Sep 22, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Portugalete vs Sestao
4:1
May 5, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Portugalete vs Sestao
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sestao Compare

Top Goalscorer Bengoetxea A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Delgado E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Portugalete Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sestao 86 / 100
Portugalete 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sestao Portugalete

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sestao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sestao scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Sestao has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Portugalete let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sestao VS Portugalete
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sestao

(Home)
04 Oct
Gernika Club
1 : 2
Sestao
30 Sept
Sestao
4 : 1
Terrassa
26 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0
Atletico Astorga
20 Sept
Compostela
2 : 0
Sestao
16 Sept
Comillas CF
1 : 2
Sestao
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Portugalete

(Away)
03 Oct
Portugalete
0 : 2
Alaves B
27 Sept
Bergantinos
3 : 2
Portugalete
19 Sept
Portugalete
2 : 1
Coruxo FC
13 Sept
Portugalete
0 : 0
Compostela
05 Sept
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Portugalete
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