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Sestao vs Salamanca CF UDS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Federacion. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Sestao have averaged 1.25 scored and 0.96 conceded recently, against Salamanca CF UDS's 1.5 scored and 1.32 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.56 - 1.56) back Sestao to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Sestao
15%
Draws
36%
Salamanca CF UDS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sestao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Salamanca CF UDS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Sestao taking it.
  • Salamanca CF UDS arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sestao Clean Sheet 15%
Salamanca CF UDS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sestao Salamanca CF UDS
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 14
Draws 10 3
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sestao 48 / 100
Salamanca CF UDS 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sestao Salamanca CF UDS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sestao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sestao found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Salamanca CF UDS conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Sestao remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Salamanca CF UDS has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sestao VS Salamanca CF UDS
2 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sestao

(Home)
04 Oct
Gernika Club
1 : 2
Sestao
30 Sept
Sestao
4 : 1
Terrassa
26 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0
Atletico Astorga
20 Sept
Compostela
2 : 0
Sestao
16 Sept
Comillas CF
1 : 2
Sestao
Page 1 of 6

Salamanca CF UDS

(Away)
04 Oct
Atletico Tordesillas
2 : 0
Salamanca CF UDS
01 Oct
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 2
Salamanca CF UDS
27 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 0
RSD Alcala
20 Sept
Conquense
1 : 0
Salamanca CF UDS
16 Sept
Derio
3 : 5
Salamanca CF UDS
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Comillas CF 3
L Hospitalet 2
CF Badalona 2
Sestao 3
AD San Juan 0
Terrassa 1
Binefar 1
Porreres 0
Santa Marta Tormes 2
Vimenor 1
Bergantinos 5
Leioa 0
Compostela 1
Derio 2
Salamanca CF UDS 3
Caudal Deportivo 2
Motril 0
Recreativo Huelva 2
Cacereno 2
UD San Pedro 0
Melilla 0
Conil 1
Sporting Ceuta 0
Dos Hermanas 9
Torrent 1
Atletico Saguntino 2
CF Talavera 0
Navalcarnero 2
UD San Fernando 1
Orihuela 3
Mensajero 1
Murcia 2
1/8-finals
Comillas CF 1
Sestao 2
Terrassa 4
Binefar 0
Santa Marta Tormes 1
Bergantinos 0
Derio 3
Salamanca CF UDS 5
Recreativo Huelva 2
Cacereno 1
Conil 1
Dos Hermanas 0
Atletico Saguntino 0
Navalcarnero 4
Orihuela 1
Murcia 4
Quarter-finals
Sestao 4
Terrassa 1
Santa Marta Tormes 1
Salamanca CF UDS 2
Recreativo Huelva 2
Conil 1
Navalcarnero 3
Murcia 1
Semi-finals
Sestao -
Salamanca CF UDS -
Recreativo Huelva -
Navalcarnero -
Final
TBD -
TBD -