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Sestri Levante vs AS Biellese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A Giuseppe Sivori, Sestri Levante
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Antunes D.
30' Event
Beltrame S.
42' Event
Beltrame S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A game between Sestri Levante and AS Biellese finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Biellese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sestri Levante
20%
Draws
52%
AS Biellese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AS Biellese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AS Biellese come out ahead of Sestri Levante on wins alone.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on AS Biellese taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and AS Biellese have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Sestri Levante Clean Sheet 11%
AS Biellese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sestri Levante AS Biellese
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.42 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs AS Biellese
1:2
Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group A
AS Biellese vs Sestri Levante
2:0
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs AS Biellese
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sestri Levante Compare

Top Goalscorer Antunes D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

AS Biellese Compare

Top Goalscorer Beltrame S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sestri Levante 10 / 100
AS Biellese 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sestri Levante AS Biellese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Biellese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sestri Levante scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sestri Levante remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

AS Biellese has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sestri Levante VS AS Biellese
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sestri Levante

(Home)
07 Oct
Sestri Levante
1 : 0
Pistoiese
04 Oct
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 1
Sestri Levante
27 Sept
Sestri Levante
1 : 2
AS Biellese
20 Sept
GSD Lascaris
1 : 1
Sestri Levante
16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3
Fezzanese
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AS Biellese

(Away)
07 Oct
AS Biellese
3 : 2
Alessandria
04 Oct
AS Biellese
4 : 1
Gozzano
27 Sept
Sestri Levante
1 : 2
AS Biellese
20 Sept
AS Biellese
1 : 1
Chisola
16 Sept
Bra
0 : 1
AS Biellese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alessandria 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 AS Biellese 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
3 Derthona FbC 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
4 Ligorna 6 3 1 2 11:10 10
5 Asti Calcio 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
6 Gozzano 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
7 Saluzzo 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
8 Millesimo 6 3 0 3 8:6 9
9 Chisola 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
10 Imperia Calcio 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
11 GSD Lascaris 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
12 Sanremese 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
13 Fezzanese 6 2 1 3 7:7 7
14 Sestri Levante 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
15 Borgosesia Calcio 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
16 Bra 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
17 Valenzana 6 1 1 4 7:10 4
18 Celle Varazze 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)