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Sestri Levante vs Ligorna

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
60' Event
Salducco V.
82' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Sestri Levante and Ligorna finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ligorna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sestri Levante
20%
Draws
40%
Ligorna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ligorna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sestri Levante Clean Sheet 10%
Ligorna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sestri Levante Ligorna
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 17
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.53 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.09 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Ligorna
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Sestri Levante
1:1
Aug 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Sestri Levante vs Ligorna
1:2
Apr 11, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Sestri Levante
1:1
Nov 13, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Ligorna
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sestri Levante Compare

Top Goalscorer Salducco V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ligorna Compare

Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sestri Levante 29 / 100
Ligorna 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sestri Levante Ligorna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sestri Levante Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sestri Levante found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Ligorna has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Sestri Levante went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sestri Levante VS Ligorna
1.25 Goals Scored 2.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sestri Levante

(Home)
16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3
Fezzanese
13 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1
Sestri Levante
06 Sept
Sestri Levante
2 : 0
Asti Calcio
19 Aug
Sampdoria U20
1 : 4
Sestri Levante
15 Aug
Sestri Levante
1 : 1
Genoa U20
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Ligorna

(Away)
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3
Derthona FbC
13 Sept
AS Biellese
3 : 1
Ligorna
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2
Sanremese
17 May
Ligorna
5 : 3
Varese FC
10 May
Ligorna
1 : 0
Chisola
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